Pollster · 238 of 1769
Muhlenberg College
Polls scored
7
Mean error
2.4 pt
Signed bias
D+0.49
Aggregation weight
1.51
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components71
of 100 · tier · strong
Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
alignedAcross 10 graded races, Muhlenberg College's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -0.1pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
-0.1pp
Median delta
+0.0pp
Std-dev
3.0pp
N graded
10
Recent activity
Total all time
20
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Recent polls
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- 4/24/2024Pennsylvania · Senate · 2024Bob Casey Jr. 45.0 · Dave McCormick 41.0
- 10/27/2022Pennsylvania · Governor · 2022Josh Shapiro 54.0 · Doug Mastriano 40.0
- 10/27/2022Pennsylvania · Senate · 2022Mehmet Oz 47.0 · John Fetterman 47.0
- 9/15/2022Pennsylvania · Governor · 2022Josh Shapiro 53.0 · Doug Mastriano 42.0
- 9/15/2022Pennsylvania · Senate · 2022Mehmet Oz 44.0 · John Fetterman 49.0
- 10/31/2018Pennsylvania · Governor · 2018Tom Wolf 58.0 · Scott Wagner 37.0
- 10/31/2018Pennsylvania · Senate · 2018Bob Casey Jr. 54.0 · Lou Barletta 40.0
- 9/18/2018Pennsylvania · Governor · 2018Tom Wolf 55.0 · Scott Wagner 36.0