Pollster · 307 of 1053
Muhlenberg College
GRADE A NEUTRAL LEAN ★ AAPOR TI MEMBER
Polls scored
20
Mean error
3.0 pt
Signed bias
D+1.05
Aggregation weight
1.33
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components 68
of 100 · tier · strong
Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
aligned Across 10 graded races, Muhlenberg College's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -0.1pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
-0.1pp
Median delta
+0.0pp
Std-dev
3.0pp
N graded
10
Recent activity
Total all time
20
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Recent polls
- 10/30/2024 us-senate-2024-pa Bob Casey Jr. 49.0 · Dave McCormick 46.0
- 9/19/2024 us-senate-2024-pa Bob Casey Jr. 48.0 · Dave McCormick 43.0
- 4/25/2024 us-senate-2024-pa Bob Casey Jr. 45.0 · Dave McCormick 41.0
- 10/28/2022 us-governor-2022-pa Josh Shapiro 54.0 · Doug Mastriano 40.0
- 10/28/2022 us-senate-2022-pa Mehmet Oz 47.0 · John Fetterman 47.0
- 9/16/2022 us-governor-2022-pa Josh Shapiro 53.0 · Doug Mastriano 42.0
- 9/16/2022 us-senate-2022-pa Mehmet Oz 44.0 · John Fetterman 49.0
- 11/1/2018 us-governor-2018-pa Tom Wolf 58.0 · Scott Wagner 37.0
- 11/1/2018 us-senate-2018-pa Bob Casey Jr. 54.0 · Lou Barletta 40.0
- 9/19/2018 us-governor-2018-pa Tom Wolf 55.0 · Scott Wagner 36.0