Pollster · 156 of 1053

American Research Group

GRADE A− NEUTRAL LEAN
↗ official site ↗ Wikipedia
Polls scored
19
Mean error
3.2 pt
Signed bias
D+1.09
Aggregation weight
1.00
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components
66
of 100 · tier · strong

Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.

Aggregator weight 50
Verification rate 37
Sample size median 58
Citation rate 100
Outlier rate (inv.) 100
Rater alignment 99
Pollster vs editorial consensus
noisy

Across 6 graded races, American Research Group's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +0.2pp. Noisy — high variance vs the consensus, hard to characterize.

Mean delta
+0.2pp
Median delta
+1.0pp
Std-dev
8.8pp
N graded
6
Sample races (links to detail):
us-governor-2022-nhus-senate-2022-nhus-senate-2020-nh
Recent activity
Total all time
19
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0

Last poll 9/19/2022 (1328d ago) · status dormant

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