Pollster · 131 of 1769
American Research Group
Polls scored
13
Mean error
4.8 pt
Signed bias
D+1.53
Aggregation weight
1.51
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components53
of 100 · tier · moderate
Moderate quality. Worth checking individual signals before relying on this pollster's headline.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
noisyAcross 6 graded races, American Research Group's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +0.2pp. Noisy — high variance vs the consensus, hard to characterize.
Mean delta
+0.2pp
Median delta
+1.0pp
Std-dev
8.8pp
N graded
6
Recent activity
Total all time
241
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | #1 / 3 | 4 | 2.23 pt | D+0.45 pp |
Recent polls
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