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Races · President · 2020 · New Hampshire
President · open seat

New Hampshire President

Tossup polls· 15 polls · 0 markets
Where this race stands
Verified

Tossup

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+1) suggests Tossup.

CITATIONS · tossup

Polling average

4045505560BIDEN 54.0TRUMP 42.7SEP '20OCT '20OCT '20
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.

All polls · 15 results

strongpositiveinfocautionflag
DatePollster · trust signalsn · popLeanBias · trackvs ratersD · R
Oct 26American Research Group600 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.77 tracked+0.2noisy
Oct 25University of New Hampshire Survey Center864 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 25SurveyMonkey+11,013 · unknownD-LEAND +6.4240 tracked+2.2noisy
Oct 24Saint Anselm College Survey Center1,018 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 20University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion757 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 10University of New Hampshire Survey Center899 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 9Suffolk University500 · unknownNEUTRALD +1.221 tracked+0.8aligned
Oct 4SurveyMonkey+11,410 · unknownD-LEAND +6.4240 tracked+2.2noisy
Oct 2Saint Anselm College Survey Center1,147 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 29Emerson College700 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.7118 tracked+0.8aligned
Sep 26American Research Group600 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.77 tracked+0.2noisy
Sep 25University of New Hampshire Survey Center972 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 23Rasmussen Reports850 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.9124 tracked-0.9aligned
Sep 20University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion657 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 9The New York Times/Siena College445 · unknownNEUTRAL
· 15 polls · 10 per page

Endorsements · 0 total

Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yet
DEMJoe Biden0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
REPDonald Trump0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2021-02-25
Joe BidenP80000722 ↗
Receipts
$1.1B
Disburse
$1.1B
Cash on hand
$260.5K
Debts
$0
No industry data.
No contributor data.
Donald TrumpP80001571 ↗
Receipts
$744.4M
Disburse
$752.9M
Cash on hand
$10.7M
Debts
$2.7M
No industry data.
No contributor data.

Outside spending · independent expenditures

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports
IE total
$8.1M
D side
$7.8M · 96%
R side
$353.6K · 4%
Top spender
PRIORITIES USA ACTION
For / against split
For Biden $6.0M
Against Trump $1.8M
Against Biden $22.7K
For Trump $330.9K
SpenderSideAmountShareTarget
PRIORITIES USA ACTIOND$2.8M35%for Joe Biden
UNITE HERE PACD$953.8K12%for Joe Biden
FOR OUR FUTURED$952.5K12%against Donald Trump
VOTE NURSES VALUES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE: CALIFORNIA NURSES ASSOCIATIOND$729.8K9%for Joe Biden
PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERALD$714.3K9%for Joe Biden
UNIDOSUS ACTION PACD$495.9K6%for Joe Biden
SAFE AND SECURE AMERICA PACR$286.6K4%for Donald Trump
PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESD$250.0K3%against Donald Trump
MIJENTE PACD$74.2K1%against Donald Trump

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 13, 2026tossuppvi
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 15deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2021-02-25
Endorsementsnothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks