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Pollster · 59 of 1769

Saint Anselm College

GRADE CWEIGHT TIER T4NEUTRAL LEAN</> Embed
Polls scored
5
Mean error
4.5 pt
Signed bias
R+1.98
Aggregation weight
0.81

Pollster vs prediction market

From 72 race-polls · 16 matched markets
Pre-poll P(D) (avg)
78.1%
Market price the day before each poll dropped
Post-poll market shift
+0.0 pt
Average move within 24h of release (D+ = market moved toward D)
Market alignment
+5.6 pt
Net direction markets moved toward Saint Anselm College's read
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components
74
of 100 · tier · strong

Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.

Aggregator weight41
Verification rate71
Sample size median100
Citation rate100
Outlier rate (inv.)not yet measured
Rater alignment93
Pollster vs editorial consensus
aligned

Across 28 graded races, Saint Anselm College's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +1.0pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.

Mean delta
+1.0pp
Median delta
+1.0pp
Std-dev
5.3pp
N graded
28
Recent activity
Total all time
72
Last 30d
15
Last 90d
15
Last 180d
31

Last poll 6/29/2026 (7d ago)· status active

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