Pollster · 496 of 1053
Reuters/Ipsos
GRADE A NEUTRAL LEAN ★ AAPOR TI MEMBER
Polls scored
7
Mean error
3.3 pt
Signed bias
D+0.57
Aggregation weight
1.21
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components 71
of 100 · tier · low-volume
Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
d-lean Across 7 graded races, Reuters/Ipsos's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +2.4pp. That's a measurable D-lean vs the consensus.
Mean delta
+2.4pp
Median delta
+2.0pp
Std-dev
1.5pp
N graded
7
Recent activity
Total all time
7
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | #3 / 12 | 3 | 2.97 pt | R+1.64 pp |
Recent polls
- 10/20/2020 us-senate-2020-mi Gary Peters 50.0 · John James 45.0
- 10/13/2020 us-senate-2020-mi Gary Peters 52.0 · John James 44.0
- 10/6/2020 us-senate-2020-mi Gary Peters 50.0 · John James 43.0
- 10/29/2014 us-governor-2014-ia Terry Branstad 57.0 · Jack Hatch 34.0
- 10/31/2012 us-senate-2012-fl Bill Nelson 52.0 · Connie Mack IV 42.0
- 10/31/2012 us-senate-2012-oh Sherrod Brown 49.0 · Josh Mandel 41.0
- 10/31/2012 us-senate-2012-va Tim Kaine 47.0 · George Allen 45.0