Pollster · 563 of 1053
Magellan Strategies
GRADE B+ NEUTRAL LEAN
Polls scored
34
Mean error
4.3 pt
Signed bias
R+0.29
Aggregation weight
0.94
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components 59
of 100 · tier · moderate
Moderate quality. Worth checking individual signals before relying on this pollster's headline.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
aligned Across 7 graded races, Magellan Strategies's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -1.9pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
-1.9pp
Median delta
-2.0pp
Std-dev
2.7pp
N graded
7
Recent activity
Total all time
34
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | #7 / 21 | 3 | 3.51 pt | R+0.30 pp |
Recent polls
- 10/30/2018 us-governor-2018-co Jared Polis 45.0 · Walker Stapleton 40.0 · Scott Helker 3.0
- 10/23/2018 us-governor-2018-ok Kevin Stitt 51.0 · Drew Edmondson 44.0 · Chris Powell 1.0
- 10/10/2018 us-governor-2018-co Jared Polis 47.0 · Walker Stapleton 40.0 · Scott Helker 4.0
- 2/10/2017 us-senate-2018-wi Tammy Baldwin 49.0 · David Clarke 35.0
- 2/10/2017 us-senate-2018-wi Tammy Baldwin 49.0 · Sean Duffy 36.0
- 10/13/2016 us-senate-2016-co Michael Bennet 47.0 · Darryl Glenn 32.0
- 8/31/2016 us-senate-2016-co Michael Bennet 48.0 · Darryl Glenn 38.0
- 10/28/2014 us-governor-2014-pa Tom Corbett 43.0 · Tom Wolf 50.0
- 10/23/2014 us-governor-2014-me Paul LePage 42.0 · Mike Michaud 42.0 · Eliot Cutler 13.0
- 10/14/2014 us-governor-2014-pa Tom Corbett 42.0 · Tom Wolf 49.0