Pollster · 494 of 1769
Magellan Strategies
Polls scored
22
Mean error
7.1 pt
Signed bias
D+2.25
Aggregation weight
0.64
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components48
of 100 · tier · moderate
Moderate quality. Worth checking individual signals before relying on this pollster's headline.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
alignedAcross 7 graded races, Magellan Strategies's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -1.9pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
-1.9pp
Median delta
-2.0pp
Std-dev
2.7pp
N graded
7
Recent activity
Total all time
64
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | #7 / 21 | 3 | 3.51 pt | R+0.30 pp |
Recent polls
- 10/29/2018Colorado · Governor · 2018Jared Polis 45.0 · Walker Stapleton 40.0 · Scott Helker 3.0
- 10/28/2018Colorado · Governor · 2018Jared Polis 45.0 · Walker Stapleton 40.0
- 10/22/2018Oklahoma · Governor · 2018Kevin Stitt 51.0 · Drew Edmondson 44.0 · Chris Powell 1.0
- 10/21/2018Oklahoma · Governor · 2018Drew Edmondson 44.0 · Kevin Stitt 51.0
- 10/9/2018Colorado · Governor · 2018Jared Polis 47.0 · Walker Stapleton 40.0 · Scott Helker 4.0
- 10/8/2018Colorado · Governor · 2018Jared Polis 47.0 · Walker Stapleton 40.0
- 2/9/2017Wisconsin · Senate · 2018Tammy Baldwin 49.0 · David Clarke 35.0
- 2/9/2017Wisconsin · Senate · 2018Tammy Baldwin 49.0 · Sean Duffy 36.0
- 10/31/2016President · 2016Hillary Rodham Clinton 44.1 · Donald Trump 37.6
- 10/12/2016Colorado · Senate · 2016Michael Bennet 47.0 · Darryl Glenn 32.0