| 11/3/2018 | SoonerPoll | 0.36 | —(D+11.3) | 338 | ±5.3 | unknown | 🟠weight 0.36🟡4 scored polls+3- 🟠
weight 0.36 Aggregation weight is 0.36 (1.0 ≈ average). Weight combines historical accuracy, methodology, and recency. - 🟡
4 scored polls Pollster has only 4 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
n=338 Sample size of 338 respondents implies a margin of error around ±5.3pt — wider than typical. - 🟡
2745d old Poll was fielded 2745 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
D+10.1pt vs editors Across 10 historical polls where ≥2 editorial raters had rated the race (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.), this pollster's D-margin averaged 10.1pt MORE D-favorable than the rater consensus. Systematic D-lean relative to conventional wisdom.
| Kevin Stitt 47.0 · Drew Edmondson 44.0 · Chris Powell 3.0 | pollarch |
| 10/25/2018 | SoonerPoll | 0.36 | —(D+11.3) | 447 | ±4.6 | unknown | 🟠weight 0.36🟡4 scored polls+2- 🟠
weight 0.36 Aggregation weight is 0.36 (1.0 ≈ average). Weight combines historical accuracy, methodology, and recency. - 🟡
4 scored polls Pollster has only 4 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2754d old Poll was fielded 2754 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
D+10.1pt vs editors Across 10 historical polls where ≥2 editorial raters had rated the race (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.), this pollster's D-margin averaged 10.1pt MORE D-favorable than the rater consensus. Systematic D-lean relative to conventional wisdom.
| Kevin Stitt 46.0 · Drew Edmondson 42.0 · Chris Powell 4.0 | pollarch |
| 10/23/2018 | Magellan Strategies | 0.94 | neutral(R+0.3) | 500 | ±4.4 | unknown | 🟠commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned🟡2756d old- 🟠
commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned This poll was commissioned by a Republican-aligned committee, party, or PAC (Internal R-aligned). Such polls historically lean toward their sponsor. - 🟡
2756d old Poll was fielded 2756 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Kevin Stitt 51.0 · Drew Edmondson 44.0 · Chris Powell 1.0 | pollarch |
| 9/29/2018 | Cole Hargrave Snodgrass | 1.00 | — | 500 | ±4.3 | unknown | 🟠commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned🟡no scored polls+1- 🟠
commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned This poll was commissioned by a Republican-aligned committee, party, or PAC (Internal R-aligned). Such polls historically lean toward their sponsor. - 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2780d old Poll was fielded 2780 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Kevin Stitt 46.0 · Drew Edmondson 40.0 · Chris Powell 4.0 | pollarch |
| 9/26/2018 | Right Strategy Group | 1.00 | R | 1058 | ±3.0 | unknown | 🟠commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned🟡no scored polls+1- 🟠
commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned This poll was commissioned by a Republican-aligned committee, party, or PAC (Internal R-aligned). Such polls historically lean toward their sponsor. - 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2783d old Poll was fielded 2783 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Kevin Stitt 47.0 · Drew Edmondson 43.0 · Chris Powell 2.0 | pollarch |
| 9/10/2018 | SoonerPoll | 0.36 | —(D+11.3) | 407 | ±4.9 | unknown | 🟠weight 0.36🟡4 scored polls+2- 🟠
weight 0.36 Aggregation weight is 0.36 (1.0 ≈ average). Weight combines historical accuracy, methodology, and recency. - 🟡
4 scored polls Pollster has only 4 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2799d old Poll was fielded 2799 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
D+10.1pt vs editors Across 10 historical polls where ≥2 editorial raters had rated the race (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.), this pollster's D-margin averaged 10.1pt MORE D-favorable than the rater consensus. Systematic D-lean relative to conventional wisdom.
| Kevin Stitt 47.0 · Drew Edmondson 44.0 · Chris Powell 3.0 | pollarch |
| 8/2/2018 | Right Strategy Group | 1.00 | R | 737 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟠commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned🟡no scored polls+1- 🟠
commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned This poll was commissioned by a Republican-aligned committee, party, or PAC (Internal R-aligned). Such polls historically lean toward their sponsor. - 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2838d old Poll was fielded 2838 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Kevin Stitt 41.0 · Drew Edmondson 42.0 | pollarch |
| 8/2/2018 | Right Strategy Group | 1.00 | R | 737 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟠commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned🟡no scored polls+1- 🟠
commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned This poll was commissioned by a Republican-aligned committee, party, or PAC (Internal R-aligned). Such polls historically lean toward their sponsor. - 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2838d old Poll was fielded 2838 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Mick Cornett 39.0 · Drew Edmondson 39.0 | pollarch |
| 7/20/2018 | SoonerPoll | 0.36 | —(D+11.3) | 404 | ±4.9 | unknown | 🟠weight 0.36🟡4 scored polls+2- 🟠
weight 0.36 Aggregation weight is 0.36 (1.0 ≈ average). Weight combines historical accuracy, methodology, and recency. - 🟡
4 scored polls Pollster has only 4 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2851d old Poll was fielded 2851 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
D+10.1pt vs editors Across 10 historical polls where ≥2 editorial raters had rated the race (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.), this pollster's D-margin averaged 10.1pt MORE D-favorable than the rater consensus. Systematic D-lean relative to conventional wisdom.
| Kevin Stitt 39.0 · Drew Edmondson 40.0 | pollarch |
| 7/20/2018 | SoonerPoll | 0.36 | —(D+11.3) | 404 | ±4.9 | unknown | 🟠weight 0.36🟡4 scored polls+2- 🟠
weight 0.36 Aggregation weight is 0.36 (1.0 ≈ average). Weight combines historical accuracy, methodology, and recency. - 🟡
4 scored polls Pollster has only 4 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2851d old Poll was fielded 2851 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
D+10.1pt vs editors Across 10 historical polls where ≥2 editorial raters had rated the race (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.), this pollster's D-margin averaged 10.1pt MORE D-favorable than the rater consensus. Systematic D-lean relative to conventional wisdom.
| Mick Cornett 43.0 · Drew Edmondson 35.0 | pollarch |
| 5/23/2018 | SoonerPoll | 0.36 | —(D+11.3) | 622 | ±3.9 | unknown | 🟠weight 0.36🟡4 scored polls+2- 🟠
weight 0.36 Aggregation weight is 0.36 (1.0 ≈ average). Weight combines historical accuracy, methodology, and recency. - 🟡
4 scored polls Pollster has only 4 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2909d old Poll was fielded 2909 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
D+10.1pt vs editors Across 10 historical polls where ≥2 editorial raters had rated the race (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.), this pollster's D-margin averaged 10.1pt MORE D-favorable than the rater consensus. Systematic D-lean relative to conventional wisdom.
| Kevin Stitt 25.0 · Drew Edmondson 32.0 | pollarch |
| 5/23/2018 | SoonerPoll | 0.36 | —(D+11.3) | 622 | ±3.9 | unknown | 🟠weight 0.36🟡4 scored polls+2- 🟠
weight 0.36 Aggregation weight is 0.36 (1.0 ≈ average). Weight combines historical accuracy, methodology, and recency. - 🟡
4 scored polls Pollster has only 4 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2909d old Poll was fielded 2909 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
D+10.1pt vs editors Across 10 historical polls where ≥2 editorial raters had rated the race (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.), this pollster's D-margin averaged 10.1pt MORE D-favorable than the rater consensus. Systematic D-lean relative to conventional wisdom.
| Mick Cornett 33.0 · Drew Edmondson 27.0 | pollarch |
| 5/23/2018 | SoonerPoll | 0.36 | —(D+11.3) | 622 | ±3.9 | unknown | 🟠weight 0.36🟡4 scored polls+2- 🟠
weight 0.36 Aggregation weight is 0.36 (1.0 ≈ average). Weight combines historical accuracy, methodology, and recency. - 🟡
4 scored polls Pollster has only 4 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2909d old Poll was fielded 2909 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
D+10.1pt vs editors Across 10 historical polls where ≥2 editorial raters had rated the race (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.), this pollster's D-margin averaged 10.1pt MORE D-favorable than the rater consensus. Systematic D-lean relative to conventional wisdom.
| Todd Lamb 33.0 · Drew Edmondson 28.0 | pollarch |