Pollster · 248 of 1053

InsiderAdvantage

GRADE B+ R-LEAN
↗ Wikipedia
Polls scored
64
Mean error
4.3 pt
Signed bias
R+2.62
Aggregation weight
0.92
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components
78
of 100 · tier · strong

Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.

Aggregator weight 46
Verification rate 98
Sample size median 65
Citation rate 100
Outlier rate (inv.) 100
Rater alignment 96
Pollster vs editorial consensus
aligned

Across 60 graded races, InsiderAdvantage's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -0.5pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.

Mean delta
-0.5pp
Median delta
-1.5pp
Std-dev
4.8pp
N graded
60
Sample races (links to detail):
us-senate-2024-azus-senate-2024-azus-senate-2024-az
Recent activity
Total all time
64
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0

Last poll 11/2/2024 (553d ago) · status dormant

Per-cycle debrief appearances
Cycle Rank Polls MAE Signed bias
2024 #1 / 26 9 1.13 pt D+0.07 pp
2022 #30 / 36 23 5.75 pt R+3.81 pp
Recent polls