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Pollster · 179 of 1769

InsiderAdvantage

GRADE CWEIGHT TIER T4R-LEAN</> Embed
Polls scored
22
Mean error
4.6 pt
Signed bias
R+1.69
Aggregation weight
0.91
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components
60
of 100 · tier · strong

Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.

Aggregator weight45
Verification rate44
Sample size median62
Citation rate47
Outlier rate (inv.)not yet measured
Rater alignment96
Pollster vs editorial consensus
aligned

Across 60 graded races, InsiderAdvantage's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -0.5pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.

Mean delta
-0.5pp
Median delta
-1.5pp
Std-dev
4.8pp
N graded
60
Recent activity
Total all time
193
Last 30d
7
Last 90d
23
Last 180d
23

Last poll 6/21/2026 (15d ago)· status active

Per-cycle debrief appearances
CycleRankPollsMAESigned bias
2024#1 / 2691.13 ptD+0.07 pp
2022#30 / 36265.91 ptR+4.19 pp
Recent polls