Pollster · 179 of 1769
InsiderAdvantage
Polls scored
22
Mean error
4.6 pt
Signed bias
R+1.69
Aggregation weight
0.91
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components60
of 100 · tier · strong
Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
alignedAcross 60 graded races, InsiderAdvantage's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -0.5pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
-0.5pp
Median delta
-1.5pp
Std-dev
4.8pp
N graded
60
Recent activity
Total all time
193
Last 30d
7
Last 90d
23
Last 180d
23
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | #1 / 26 | 9 | 1.13 pt | D+0.07 pp |
| 2022 | #30 / 36 | 26 | 5.91 pt | R+4.19 pp |
Recent polls
- 6/21/2026South Carolina · Governor · 2026Wilson 61.0 · Evette 29.0
- 6/14/2026Georgia · Governor · 2026Jackson 48.0 · Jones 47.0
- 6/14/2026Georgia · Senate · 2026Collins 50.0 · Dooley 48.0
- 6/13/2026Georgia · Governor · 2026Jackson 49.0 · Jones 46.0
- 6/13/2026Georgia · Senate · 2026Collins 48.0 · Dooley 46.0
- 6/6/2026South Carolina · Governor · 2026Wilson 16.0 · Evette 19.0 · Reddy 13.0 · Norman 12.0 · Mace 13.0
- 6/6/2026South Carolina · Senate · 2026Graham 51.0 · Lynch 21.0
- 6/5/2026South Carolina · Governor · 2026Pamela Evette 19.0 · Josh Kimbrell 4.0 · Nancy Mace 13.0 · Ralph Norman 12.0 · Rom Reddy 13.0 · Alan Wilson 16.0
- 6/5/2026South Carolina · Senate · 2026Lindsey Graham 51.0 · Mark Lynch 21.0
- 5/21/2026Georgia · Governor · 2026Jackson 42.0 · Jones 48.0