Pollster · 285 of 1769
Clarity Campaign Labs
Polls scored
8
Mean error
6.7 pt
Signed bias
D+6.38
Aggregation weight
1.04
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components60
of 100 · tier · moderate
Moderate quality. Worth checking individual signals before relying on this pollster's headline.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
decoupledAcross 16 graded races, Clarity Campaign Labs's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +5.2pp. Decoupled from editorial consensus — directionally different from Cook/Sabato/IE on multiple races.
Mean delta
+5.2pp
Median delta
+4.5pp
Std-dev
5.1pp
N graded
16
Recent activity
Total all time
34
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | #7 / 19 | 3 | 3.86 pt | D+3.86 pp |
| 2014 | #10 / 21 | 4 | 4.06 pt | D+4.06 pp |
Recent polls
- 10/30/2022Wisconsin · Senate · 2022Ron Johnson 46.0 · Mandela Barnes 48.0
- 10/28/2022Wisconsin · Senate · 2022Mandela Barnes 48.0 · Ron Johnson 46.0
- 10/10/2022Wisconsin · Senate · 2022Ron Johnson 47.0 · Mandela Barnes 48.0
- 10/8/2022Wisconsin · Senate · 2022Mandela Barnes 48.0 · Ron Johnson 47.0
- 9/26/2022Florida · Governor · 2022Ron DeSantis 47.0 · Charlie Crist 46.0
- 9/23/2022Florida · Senate · 2022Val Demings 46.0 · Marco Rubio 46.0
- 8/29/2022Florida · Governor · 2022Ron DeSantis 48.0 · Charlie Crist 45.0
- 8/29/2022Florida · Senate · 2022Marco Rubio 46.0 · Val Demings 45.0
- 7/30/2022Florida · Governor · 2022Ron DeSantis 47.0 · Charlie Crist 44.0
- 7/30/2022Florida · Governor · 2022Ron DeSantis 49.0 · Nikki Fried 43.0