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Pollster · 285 of 1769

Clarity Campaign Labs

GRADE DWEIGHT TIER T3D-LEAN</> Embed
Polls scored
8
Mean error
6.7 pt
Signed bias
D+6.38
Aggregation weight
1.04
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components
60
of 100 · tier · moderate

Moderate quality. Worth checking individual signals before relying on this pollster's headline.

Aggregator weight52
Verification rate38
Sample size median100
Citation rate65
Outlier rate (inv.)not yet measured
Rater alignment49
Pollster vs editorial consensus
decoupled

Across 16 graded races, Clarity Campaign Labs's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +5.2pp. Decoupled from editorial consensus — directionally different from Cook/Sabato/IE on multiple races.

Mean delta
+5.2pp
Median delta
+4.5pp
Std-dev
5.1pp
N graded
16
Recent activity
Total all time
34
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0

Last poll 10/30/2022 (1345d ago)· status dormant

Per-cycle debrief appearances
CycleRankPollsMAESigned bias
2016#7 / 1933.86 ptD+3.86 pp
2014#10 / 2144.06 ptD+4.06 pp
Recent polls