NonpartisanIndependent, data-first coverage of US elections — polls, forecasts, and prediction markets, refreshed daily.Updated daily.What's new·Methodology·Send feedback
Races · Senate · 2026 · Illinois · general · Democratic primary
</> Embed
PhasesShowing the Democratic primary. Other views:general election·Republican primary
Democratic primary · March 17, 2026

Illinois Senate Democratic primary

Juliana Stratton won the Democratic primary on March 17, 2026, advancing to the general election on November 3, 2026.

Primary passed· 29 polls
Where this race stands
Verified

Showing the Democratic primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.

Primary result · Democratic primary

Official outcome · March 17, 2026 · forecast shown for reference
1Juliana StrattonJuliana R. Stratton (née Wiggins ; born September 8, 1965) is an American lawyer and politician who has served as the 48th lieutenant govern…30.1%✓ Won
2Raja Krishnamoorthi34.3%
3Robin Kelly14.7%
4Ryan3.0%

All polls · 29 results

strongpositiveinfocautionflag
DatePollster · trust signalsn · popStrattonLead
Mar 16, 26Victory Research800 · LV29
Mar 14, 26Victory Research800 · LV29
Mar 12, 26FM3 Research648 · LV38
Mar 11, 26FM3 Research678 · LV38
Mar 9, 26Public Policy Polling700 · LV32
Mar 8, 26Tulchin Research600 · LV28
Mar 7, 26Tulchin Research600 · LV28
Mar 4, 26Change Research717 · LV26
Mar 2, 26Public Policy Polling577 · LV33
Feb 23, 26Public Policy Polling546 · LV27
Feb 18, 26Tulchin Research600 · LV26
Feb 2, 26Public Policy Polling574 · LV23
Jan 27, 26GBAO800 · LV17
Jan 25, 26Victory Research806 · LV21
Jan 24, 26Victory Research806 · LV21
Jan 11, 26GBAO900 · LV16
Jan 7, 26Emerson College568 · LV10
Jan 4, 26Emerson College/WGN-TV568 · LV10
Dec 8, 25Public Policy Polling667 · LV20
Dec 7, 25Change Research1,007 · LV14
Nov 23, 25Victory Research · unknown18
Sep 25, 25Public Policy Polling576 · LV18
Sep 18, 25Change Research1,143 · LV17
Aug 16, 25GBAO800 · LV18
Aug 9, 25Z to A Research615 · LV28
Jun 9, 25GBAO1,200 · LV19
Apr 29, 25Public Policy Polling674 · LV13
Apr 27, 25GBAO800 · LV13
Mar 26, 25314 Action773 · LV16
· 29 polls · 10 per page

Endorsements · Democratic primary · 46 total

Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yet
46
Juliana Stratton · 46
DJuliana Stratton46 endorsers
Most notable · Greg Harris · former majority leader of the Illinois House of Representatives (2019–2023) from the 13th district (2006–2023)
Elected officials27
Federal 10State 2Local 4
Organizations16
Celebrity3

Money in this primary

FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing 2026-03-18
Raja KrishnamoorthiS6IL00482 ↗
Raised
$31.39M
Cash on hand
$3.15M
No industry data.
Juliana StrattonS6IL00458 ↗
Raised
$4.79M
Cash on hand
$695K
No industry data.
Robin KellyS6IL00474 ↗
Raised
$3.47M
Cash on hand
$188K
No industry data.
Bushra AmiwalaH6IL09236 ↗
No FEC committee filing yet.
No industry data.
Junaid AhmedH2IL08146 ↗
No FEC committee filing yet.
No industry data.

In the news

13 shown · last 30d · Google News
News volume · 30d
13 articles · building history
Net favorability
+0.31
Coverage lean (D−R) · shift +0.34 wk
Coverage tilt
D 31%
Neutral 69%
31% of outlets rated · by editorial lean
Page 1 of 2
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 29deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested3 platformsupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2026-03-18
Endorsements134 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage13 / 30dGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks