Republican primary · June 2, 2026
Iowa Senate Republican primary
Ashley Hinson won the Republican primary on June 2, 2026, advancing to the general election on November 3, 2026.
Where this race stands
VerifiedShowing the Republican primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.
Primary result · Republican primary
Official outcome · June 2, 2026 · forecast shown for reference1Ashley HinsonAshley Elizabeth Hinson Arenholz ( née Hinson ; born June 27, 1983) is an American politician and journalist serving as the U.S. representat…
2Jim Carlin
Polling average
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.
All polls · 4 results
strongpositiveinfocautionflag
| Date | Pollster · trust signals | n · pop | Hinson | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 26 | JMC Analytics | 550 · LV | 61 | — |
| May 27, 26 | JMC | 550 · A | 58 | — |
| May 27, 26 | JMC Analytics | 550 · A | 58 | — |
| Dec 6, 24 | Victory Insights | 600 · LV | — | — |
Endorsements · Republican primary · 26 total
Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yetAshley Hinson · 26
RAshley Hinson26 endorsers
Most notable · Donald Trump · president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)
Elected officials23
Federal 18State 5Local 0
Elected officials · 23
- Donald Trump · president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)
- Bobby Kaufmann · majority leader of the Iowa House of Representatives (2025–present) from HD-82 (2013–present)
- John Thune · Senate majority leader (2025–present) from South Dakota (2005–present)
- Steve Scalise · House majority leader (2023–present) from LA-1 (2008–present)
- Tom Emmer · House majority whip (2023–present) from MN-6 (2015–present)
- Kim Reynolds · governor of Iowa (2017–present)
- Terry Branstad · former U.S. ambassador to China (2017–2020) and governor of Iowa (1983–1999, 2011–2017)
- Brenna Bird · attorney general of Iowa (2023–present)
- Paul Pate · secretary of state of Iowa (1995–1999, 2015–present)
- Elise Stefanik · NY-21 (2015–present)
- Mariannette Miller-Meeks · IA-1 (2021–present)
- Zach Nunn · IA-3 (2023–present)
- Chuck Grassley · president pro tempore (2019–2021, 2025–present) from Iowa (1981–present)
- Dave McCormick · Pennsylvania (2025–present)
- Jerry Moran · Kansas (2011–present)
- Jim Banks · Indiana (2025–present)
- Joni Ernst · Iowa (2015–present)
- Katie Britt · Alabama (2023–present)
- Markwayne Mullin · U.S. secretary of homeland security (2026–present)
- Mike Naig · Iowa secretary of agriculture (2018–present)
- Shelley Moore Capito · West Virginia (2015–present)
- Tim Scott · South Carolina (2013–present)
- Tom Cotton · Arkansas (2015–present)
Organizations3
Organizations · 3
- ClearPath Foundation
- Log Cabin Republicans
- Maggie's List
Money in this primary
FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing 2026-06-20Ashley HinsonS6IA00314 ↗
Raised
$8.16M
Cash on hand
$5.99M
Cumulative receipts · 6 filings
Top industries
Electric utilities$30K
Electric utilities · $30K
- Nextera Energy · $30K
Individuals $30K · PACs $0
Securities & investment$23K
Securities & investment · $23K
- Blackstone · $23K
Individuals $23K · PACs $0
Self-employed / business owner$19K
Self-employed / business owner · $19K
- Entrepreneur · $19K
Individuals $19K · PACs $0
TV / movies / music$18K
TV / movies / music · $18K
- Universal Industries INC · $18K
Individuals $18K · PACs $0
In the news
40 shown · last 30d · Google NewsNews volume · 30d
94 articles · building history
News volume · last 30d
Articles94
Trendbuilding history
Article counts indexed by Google News; the sparkline traces weekly volume across the window.
Net favorability
+0.07
Coverage lean (D−R) · shift −0.17 wk
Net favorability
Score+0.07
Week-over-weekshift −0.17 wk
Tone of coverage, D minus R, scored from −1 (all R-favorable) to +1 (all D-favorable). 0 is balanced.
Coverage tilt
D 9%
Neutral 90%
R 1%
10% of outlets rated · by editorial lean
Coverage tilt · by outlet lean
D-leaning outlets9%
Neutral90%
R-leaning outlets1%
10% of outlets classified by editorial lean
K
New polling offers early snapshot of Iowa's US Senate race
R
Turek, seeking Iowa’s open U.S. Senate seat, sees danger in farm economy
K
Iowa Senate candidate Josh Turek outlines farm policies, calls for right-to-repair and tariff relief
N
Poll finds Iowa's Senate campaign tight, as Rob Sand leads for governor
I
Republicans shares why he is voting for Josh Turek in the upcoming Senate election
E
Democratic candidate Turek holds 4-point lead over Hinson in Iowa Senate race
K
Iowa’s U.S. Senator Ernst holds final Small Business Expo
T
Polls: Iowa’s U.S. Senate campaign tight, Sand leads for governor
B
Rep. Hinson says ag labor shortages need attention
D
See Josh Turek begin statewide tour for U.S. Senate in Cedar Rapids
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Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 4deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested3 platformsupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2026-06-20
Endorsements78 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage40 / 30dGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks