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Races · Senate · 2026 · Iowa · general · Republican primary
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PhasesShowing the Republican primary. Other views:general election·Democratic primary
Republican primary · June 2, 2026

Iowa Senate Republican primary

Ashley Hinson won the Republican primary on June 2, 2026, advancing to the general election on November 3, 2026.

Primary passed· 4 polls
Where this race stands
Verified

Showing the Republican primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.

Primary result · Republican primary

Official outcome · June 2, 2026 · forecast shown for reference
1Ashley HinsonAshley Elizabeth Hinson Arenholz ( née Hinson ; born June 27, 1983) is an American politician and journalist serving as the U.S. representat…60.8%✓ Won
2Jim Carlin18.9%

Polling average

40444852566064HINSON 47.0JAN '26APR '26JUN '26
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.

All polls · 4 results

strongpositiveinfocautionflag
DatePollster · trust signalsn · popHinsonLead
May 28, 26JMC Analytics550 · LV61
May 27, 26JMC550 · A58
May 27, 26JMC Analytics550 · A58
Dec 6, 24Victory Insights600 · LV

Endorsements · Republican primary · 26 total

Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yet
26
Ashley Hinson · 26
RAshley Hinson26 endorsers
Most notable · Donald Trump · president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)
Elected officials23
Federal 18State 5Local 0
Organizations3

Money in this primary

FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing 2026-06-20
Ashley HinsonS6IA00314 ↗
Raised
$8.16M
Cash on hand
$5.99M
Cumulative receipts · 6 filings
Electric utilities$30K
Securities & investment$23K
Self-employed / business owner$19K
TV / movies / music$18K

In the news

40 shown · last 30d · Google News
News volume · 30d
94 articles · building history
Net favorability
+0.07
Coverage lean (D−R) · shift −0.17 wk
Coverage tilt
D 9%
Neutral 90%
R 1%
10% of outlets rated · by editorial lean
K
kcci.com · 22h ago
New polling offers early snapshot of Iowa's US Senate race
Neutral
R
radioiowa.com · 2d ago
Turek, seeking Iowa’s open U.S. Senate seat, sees danger in farm economy
Neutral
K
ktiv.com · 2d ago
Iowa Senate candidate Josh Turek outlines farm policies, calls for right-to-repair and tariff relief
Neutral
N
nonpareilonline.com · 3d ago
Poll finds Iowa's Senate campaign tight, as Rob Sand leads for governor
Neutral
I
iowastartingline.com · 5d ago
Republicans shares why he is voting for Josh Turek in the upcoming Senate election
Neutral
E
eciks.org · 5d ago
Democratic candidate Turek holds 4-point lead over Hinson in Iowa Senate race
Neutral
K
kscj.com · 6d ago
Iowa’s U.S. Senator Ernst holds final Small Business Expo
Neutral
T
thegazette.com · 6d ago
Polls: Iowa’s U.S. Senate campaign tight, Sand leads for governor
Neutral
B
brownfieldagnews.com · 6d ago
Rep. Hinson says ag labor shortages need attention
Neutral
D
desmoinesregister.com · 6d ago
See Josh Turek begin statewide tour for U.S. Senate in Cedar Rapids
Neutral
Page 1 of 4
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 4deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested3 platformsupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2026-06-20
Endorsements78 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage40 / 30dGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks