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Photo of Ashley HinsonR
Public domain
RepublicanRunning for IA U.S. Senate · 2026

Ashley Hinson

Ashley Elizabeth Hinson Arenholz ( née Hinson ; born June 27, 1983) is an American politician and journalist serving as the U.S. representative for Iowa's 2nd congressional district since 2021. The district, numbered as the 1st district during her first term, covers much of northeastern Iowa, including Cedar Rapids , Waterloo , Cedar Falls , and Dubuque .
Born 1983 · Des Moines, Iowa , U.S.
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
47%
Polling average
our aggregate
56%
Win probability
market-implied
$8.2M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mix

Who Hinson's money comes from.

C−
36/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance26
13% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
29% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding40
60% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure76
$2.5M in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record

What Hinson did in office.

MeasureYearAction
Maternal and Child Health Stillbirth Prevention Act of 2024
Became Public Law No: 118-69.
2023
Became law
Veterans to Advanced Manufacturing Plan Act
Referred to the House Committee on Veterans' Affairs.
2026
Sponsored
Protecting American Industry and Labor from International Trade Crimes Act of 2025
Ordered to be Reported (Amended) by the Yeas and Nays: 23 - 0.
2025
Sponsored
ENDS Chinese Vapes Act of 2026
Referred to the House Committee on Ways and Means.
2026
Sponsored
Amending the Rules of the House of Representatives to prohibit Members of the House from entering into certain
Referred to the Committee on Ethics, and in addition to the Committees on the Judiciary, and Oversight and Government Reform, for a period to be subse
2026
Sponsored
PURE Executive Act
Referred to the House Committee on the Judiciary.
2026
Sponsored
Allowing Greater Access to Safe and Effective Contraception Act
Referred to the Committee on Energy and Commerce, and in addition to the Committees on Ways and Means, Natural Resources, and Armed Services, for a pe
2026
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Hinson votes

With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.

Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Hinson
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
68
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 582 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
99%voted with Republicans · 1% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2017Member of the Iowa House of Representatives
2017–2021
2021United States representative
since 2021
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-date

Who funds the campaign.

$8.2M
Raised
$4.1M
Spent
$6.0M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
13% small (<$200)58% large indiv.29% PAC
40% in-state · 60% out-of-state (itemized)
Top contributors · bundled by employer / org
INFORMATION REQUESTED PER BEST EFFORTS
$69k
MARQUIS MANAGEMENT
$33k
NEXTERA ENERGY
$30k
BLACKSTONE
$23k
ENTREPRENEUR
$19k
CORNERSTONE GOVERNMENT AFFAIRS
$18k
Top industries · itemized $
Electric utilities$30k
Securities & investment$23k
Self-employed / business owner$19k
TV / movies / music$18k
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race

The contest Hinson is running in.

IA · SENATE · 2026tossup
Hinson (R) vs Josh Turek (D)
47%+0.3 Hinson46.6%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →

Live contract prices tied to Hinson and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.

Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: OFFICE OF CONGRESSWOMAN ASHLEY HINSON · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
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R
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Turek, seeking Iowa’s open U.S. Senate seat, sees danger in farm economy
K
ktiv.com · 2026-07-06
Iowa Senate candidate Josh Turek outlines farm policies, calls for right-to-repair and tariff relief
N
nonpareilonline.com · 2026-07-05
Poll finds Iowa's Senate campaign tight, as Rob Sand leads for governor
Photo of Ashley HinsonR
Republican · IA U.S. Senate

Ashley Hinson

Ashley Elizabeth Hinson Arenholz ( née Hinson ; born June 27, 1983) is an American politician and journalist serving as the U.S. representative for Iowa's 2nd congressional district since 2021. The district, numbered as the 1st district during her first term, covers much of northeastern Iowa, including Cedar Rapids , Waterloo , Cedar Falls , and Dubuque .

Where Hinson standsRace →
Hinson 47%Josh Turek 46.6%
Market · wins
56¢
47%
Poll avg
56%
Win prob
$8.2M
Raised
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
Governing & voting record
Maternal and Child Health Stillbirth Prevention Act of 2024
2023 · BECAME LAW
Became
Veterans to Advanced Manufacturing Plan Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
Protecting American Industry and Labor from International Trade Crimes Act of 2025
2025 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
ENDS Chinese Vapes Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
Amending the Rules of the House of Representatives to prohibit Members of the House from entering into certain
2026 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
PURE Executive Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
Allowing Greater Access to Safe and Effective Contraception Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2017Member of the Iowa House of Representatives
2017–2021
2021United States representative
since 2021
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard

Who Hinson's money comes from.

C−
36/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance26
13% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
29% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding40
60% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure76
$2.5M in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Hinson votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Hinson
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
68
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 582 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
99%voted with Republicans · 1% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$8.2M
Raised
$4.1M
Spent
$6.0M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
13% small (<$200)58% large indiv.29% PAC
40% in-state · 60% out-of-state (itemized)
Top industries · itemized $
Electric utilities$30k
Securities & investment$23k
Self-employed / business owner$19k
TV / movies / music$18k
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
IA · SENATE · 2026tossup
Hinson (R) vs Josh Turek (D)
47%+0.3 Hinson46.6%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: OFFICE OF CONGRESSWOMAN ASHLEY HINSON · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)