Races · house · 2024 · NC
house · open seat
Don Davis vs Laurie Buckhout
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Tossup
tossup
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-11-12Total IE spending
$51.1M
For candidates
$13.3M
Against candidates
$37.8M
Latest filing: 11/12/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Laurie Buckhout (R)
$862K for ·
$34.8M against
Cash on hand
$26K
Total raised (cycle)
$4.8M
Total spent
$4.8M
Debts
$1.5M
Source: FEC
- $30.4M against HMP Super PAC
- $1.7M against DCCC Party
- $1.5M against NRDC ACTION VOTES Super PAC
- $467K for CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $363K against HOLD THE LINE PAC PAC
Don Davis (D)
$12.3M for ·
$3.0M against
Cash on hand
$271K
Total raised (cycle)
$6.1M
Total spent
$5.8M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $5.6M for NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND Super PAC
- $4.4M for FAIRSHAKE Super PAC
- $2.9M against NRCC Party
- $1.3M for WITH HONOR FUND II, INC. Super PAC
- $300K for CENTER FORWARD COMMITTEE Super PAC
Sandy Smith (R)
$68K for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$145
Total raised (cycle)
$948K
Total spent
$961K
Debts
$181K
Source: FEC
- $48K for ROLLING SEA ACTION FUND Super PAC
- $19K for TAXPAYERS AGAINST WOKENESS Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Tossup via pvi