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TBL
IndependentRunning for NC-1 U.S. House · 2026

Tom Bailey

Thomas or Tom Bailey may refer to:
Thomas or Tom Bailey may refer to:
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-05

Tom Bailey is the Libertarian nominee for North Carolina's 1st Congressional District House seat in the 2026 general election. In recent polling, Bailey trails his opponent Don Davis, with Davis averaging around 45% support and Bailey registering roughly 8% support. The district overall leans Democratic.

Governing & voting record
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
No campaign finance on file
FEC filings appear here once the candidate's committee reports. Early-cycle and self-funding candidates often have nothing on record yet.
Race

The contest Bailey is running in.

NC · HOUSE · 2026lean d
Bailey (L) vs Don Davis (D)
8%−36.9 Davis44.9%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →

Live contract prices tied to Bailey and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.

Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.
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North Carolina (2026 Democratic Primary Preview Series Brief #26)
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nytimes.com · 2026-06-26
Who Is Ahead in North Carolina's 10th Congressional District?
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Who Is Ahead in North Carolina's 14th Congressional District?
TBL
Independent · NC-1 U.S. House

Tom Bailey

Thomas or Tom Bailey may refer to:

Thomas or Tom Bailey may refer to:

Where Bailey standsRace →
Bailey 8%Don Davis 44.9%
8%
Poll avg
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-05

Tom Bailey is the Libertarian nominee for North Carolina's 1st Congressional District House seat in the 2026 general election. In recent polling, Bailey trails his opponent Don Davis, with Davis averaging around 45% support and Bailey registering roughly 8% support. The district overall leans Democratic.

Governing & voting record
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
How they vote
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
No campaign finance on file
FEC filings appear here once the candidate's committee reports. Early-cycle and self-funding candidates often have nothing on record yet.
Race
NC · HOUSE · 2026lean d
Bailey (L) vs Don Davis (D)
8%−36.9 Davis44.9%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.