DemocratRunning for NC-1 U.S. House · 2026
Don Davis
Donald or Don Davis may refer to:
Donald or Don Davis may refer to:
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04
Don Davis, a Democrat, won the North Carolina primary for the 1st U.S. House seat. He leads his opponent Laurie Buckhout in recent polling, with approximately 45% to 41% support, and has raised about $3 million. Market data suggests roughly even odds for his election.
44.9%
Polling average
our aggregate
53%
Win probability
market-implied
$3.2M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Davis's money comes from.
C−
32/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance20
10% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
45% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding6
94% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$3.2M
Raised
$623k
Spent
$2.9M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
10% small (<$200)45% large indiv.45% PAC
6% in-state · 94% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race
The contest Davis is running in.
NC · HOUSE · 2026lean d
Davis (D) vs Laurie Buckhout (R)
44.9%+4.1 Davis40.9%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Davis and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.
Related coverage
quiverquant.com · 2026-07-02
Press Release: Don Davis Cites North Carolina Budget Investment for Martin General Hospital Reopening Effort
usresistnews.org · 2026-06-28
North Carolina (2026 Democratic Primary Preview Series Brief #26)
nytimes.com · 2026-06-26
Who Is Ahead in North Carolina's 10th Congressional District?
nytimes.com · 2026-06-25
Who Is Ahead in North Carolina's 14th Congressional District?
Democrat · NC-1 U.S. House
Don Davis
Donald or Don Davis may refer to:
Donald or Don Davis may refer to:
Where Davis standsRace →
Davis 44.9%Laurie Buckhout 40.9%
Market · wins
53¢
44.9%
Poll avg
53%
Win prob
$3.2M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04Don Davis, a Democrat, won the North Carolina primary for the 1st U.S. House seat. He leads his opponent Laurie Buckhout in recent polling, with approximately 45% to 41% support, and has raised about $3 million. Market data suggests roughly even odds for his election.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Davis's money comes from.
C−
32/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance20
10% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
45% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding6
94% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$3.2M
Raised
$623k
Spent
$2.9M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
10% small (<$200)45% large indiv.45% PAC
6% in-state · 94% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race
NC · HOUSE · 2026lean d
Davis (D) vs Laurie Buckhout (R)
44.9%+4.1 Davis40.9%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.