Public domain
RepublicanRunning for NC-1 U.S. House · 2026
Laurie Buckhout
Laurie Moe Buckhout is an American retired military officer. She served as Assistant Secretary of Defense for Cyber Policy in 2025. Buckout is the Republican nominee in the 2026 election in North Carolina's 1st congressional district.
Born 1961
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04
Laurie Moe Buckhout, a retired military officer and former Assistant Secretary of Defense for Cyber Policy, is the Republican nominee for North Carolina's 1st U.S. House seat in 2026. Polling shows her trailing opponent Don Davis by about four percentage points, at roughly 41% versus 45%. Polymarket implies about a 50% win probability. She has raised approximately $3 million for her campaign.
40.9%
Polling average
our aggregate
46%
Win probability
market-implied
$2.7M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Buckhout's money comes from.
D
27/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance14
7% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
47% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding18
82% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure75
$920k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$2.7M
Raised
$1.3M
Spent
$1.5M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
7% small (<$200)46% large indiv.47% PAC
18% in-state · 82% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-15 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Buckhout is running in.
NC · HOUSE · 2026lean d
Buckhout (R) vs Don Davis (D)
40.9%−4.1 Davis44.9%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Buckhout and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: U.S. DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
quiverquant.com · 2026-07-02
Press Release: Don Davis Cites North Carolina Budget Investment for Martin General Hospital Reopening Effort
usresistnews.org · 2026-06-28
North Carolina (2026 Democratic Primary Preview Series Brief #26)
nytimes.com · 2026-06-26
Who Is Ahead in North Carolina's 10th Congressional District?
nytimes.com · 2026-06-25
Who Is Ahead in North Carolina's 14th Congressional District?
Republican · NC-1 U.S. House
Laurie Buckhout
Laurie Moe Buckhout is an American retired military officer. She served as Assistant Secretary of Defense for Cyber Policy in 2025. Buckout is the Republican nominee in the 2026 election in North Carolina's 1st congressional district.
Where Buckhout standsRace →
Buckhout 40.9%Don Davis 44.9%
Market · wins
46¢
40.9%
Poll avg
46%
Win prob
$2.7M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04Laurie Moe Buckhout, a retired military officer and former Assistant Secretary of Defense for Cyber Policy, is the Republican nominee for North Carolina's 1st U.S. House seat in 2026. Polling shows her trailing opponent Don Davis by about four percentage points, at roughly 41% versus 45%. Polymarket implies about a 50% win probability. She has raised approximately $3 million for her campaign.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Buckhout's money comes from.
D
27/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance14
7% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
47% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding18
82% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure75
$920k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$2.7M
Raised
$1.3M
Spent
$1.5M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
7% small (<$200)46% large indiv.47% PAC
18% in-state · 82% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-15 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Related prediction markets
All markets →Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: U.S. DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)