NonpartisanIndependent, data-first coverage of US elections — polls, forecasts, and prediction markets, refreshed daily.Updated daily.What's new·Methodology·Send feedback
Races · Governor · 2026 · Texas · general · Republican primary
</> Embed
PhasesShowing the Republican primary. Other views:general election·Democratic primary
Republican primary · March 3, 2026

Texas Governor Republican primary

Greg Abbott won the Republican primary on March 3, 2026, advancing to the general election on November 3, 2026.

Primary passed· 4 polls
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 22d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands
Verified

Showing the Republican primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.

Primary result · Republican primary

Official outcome · March 3, 2026 · forecast shown for reference
1Greg AbbottGovernor of Texas · since 201574.5%✓ Won

Polling average

45505560657075808590ABBOTT 49.4JAN '26APR '26JUN '26
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.

All polls · 4 results

strongpositiveinfocautionflag
DatePollster · trust signalsn · popAbbottLead
Mar 1YouGov1,668 · LV72
Mar 1YouGov1,688 · LV72
Feb 24University of Texas360 · RV91
Feb 15University of Texas/Texas Politics Project360 · LV91

Endorsements · Republican primary · 20 total

Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yet
20
Greg Abbott · 20
RGreg Abbott20 endorsers
Most notable · Donald Trump · president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)
Organizations16
Newspapers2
Celebrity1
Elected officials1
Federal 1State 0Local 0

Money in this primary

FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing —

No FEC committee filings yet for the Republican primary candidates. Most primary candidates file quarterly; if the primary is recent the data may take a few weeks to appear.

In the news

40 shown · last 30d · Google News
News volume · 30d
106 articles · building history
Net favorability
+0.06
Coverage lean (D−R) · shift −0.03 wk
Coverage tilt
D 6%
Neutral 94%
6% of outlets rated · by editorial lean
K
kxan.com · 5d ago
Gov. Abbott calls for banning data center development in rural Texas neighborhoods
Neutral
D
datacenterdynamics.com · 5d ago
Texas Governor Abbott calls for data centers to be banned in rural areas
Neutral
S
spectrumlocalnews.com · 5d ago
A conversation with Gov. Greg Abbott
Neutral
H
houstonchronicle.com · 5d ago
Abbott taps a former GOP primary rival as Texas' new comptroller. What happened between the two?
Neutral
K
khou.com · 6d ago
Race for Texas governor could be headed to the debate stage
Neutral
G
gov.texas.gov · 6d ago
Governor Abbott Celebrates Caterpillar’s $5 Million Investment In Texas’ Manufacturing Workforce
Neutral
F
fox7austin.com · 6d ago
Huffines appointed new Texas comptroller by Gov. Abbott
Neutral
T
texastribune.org · 6d ago
Rep. Nate Schatzline resigns from Texas House to lead “election integrity” policy in Gov. Abbott’s office
Neutral
E
elpasotimes.com · 6d ago
Gov. Greg Abbott, Gina Hinojosa's war chest in the Texas governor race
Neutral
T
texasborderbusiness.com · 6d ago
Governor Abbott Appoints Don Huffines As Comptroller Of Public Accounts
Neutral
Page 1 of 4
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 4deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested2 platformsupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE
Endorsements53 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage40 / 30dGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks