Democratic primary · March 3, 2026
Texas Governor Democratic primary
Gina Hinojosa won the Democratic primary on March 3, 2026, advancing to the general election on November 3, 2026.
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 22d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
VerifiedShowing the Democratic primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.
Primary result · Democratic primary
Official outcome · March 3, 2026 · forecast shown for reference1Gina HinojosaTexas state representative · Austin
2Chris BellRobert Christopher Bell (born November 23, 1959) is an American politician, attorney, and former journalist. He is a graduate of the Univers…
Polling average
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.
All polls · 13 results
strongpositiveinfocautionflag
| Date | Pollster · trust signals | n · pop | Hinojosa | Bell | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 26 | YouGov | 2,342 · LV | 55 | 4 | +51 |
| Mar 1, 26 | YouGov | 2,427 · LV | 55 | 4 | +51 |
| Feb 26, 26 | Univ. of Texas - Tyler | 451 · LV | 60 | 25 | +35 |
| Feb 25, 26 | Blueprint Polling | 472 · LV | 61 | 4 | +57 |
| Feb 24, 26 | University of Texas | 278 · RV | 76 | 4 | +72 |
| Feb 23, 26 | Blueprint Polling | 472 · LV | 61 | 4 | +57 |
| Feb 21, 26 | UT Tyler | — · unknown | 60 | 25 | +35 |
| Feb 15, 26 | University of Texas/Texas Politics Project | 369 · LV | 76 | 4 | +72 |
| Feb 10, 26 | Univ. of Houston | 550 · LV | 37 | 7 | +30 |
| Jan 30, 26 | University of Houston/YouGov | 550 · LV | 37 | 7 | +30 |
Endorsements · Democratic primary · 29 total
Source · Wikipedia · 1 candidate with no endorsements yetGina Hinojosa · 29
DGina Hinojosa29 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)
Elected officials16
Federal 12State 2Local 2
Elected officials · 16
- Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)
- Wendy Davis · former state senator from the 10th district (2009-2015) and 2014 gubernatorial nominee
- Greg Casar · TX-35 (2023–present)
- Jasmine Crockett · TX-30 (2023–present)
- Julie Johnson · TX-32 (2025–present)
- Lloyd Doggett · TX-37 (1995–present)
- Sylvia Garcia · TX-29 (2019–present)
- Veronica Escobar · TX-16 (2019–present)
- Vicente Gonzalez · TX-34 (2017–present)
- Beto O'Rourke · former TX-16 (2013–2019), 2018 U.S. senate nominee and 2022 gubernatorial nominee
- Chris Murphy · Connecticut (2013–present)
- Colin Allred · former TX-32 (2019–2025)
- Garry Mauro · former Land Commissioner of Texas (1983-1999) and 1998 gubernatorial nominee
- James Talarico · state representative from the 50th district (2018–present) and nominee for the U.S. Senate
- Jim Hightower · former Texas Agriculture Commissioner (1983-1991)
- Ruben Gallego · Arizona (2025–present)
Newspapers6
Newspapers · 6
- Austin American-Statesman
- Dallas Morning News
- Fort Worth Star-Telegram
- Houston Chronicle
- San Antonio Express-News
- The Austin Chronicle
Organizations6
Organizations · 6
- AFL-CIO · FL-CIO
- American Federation of Teachers · achers
- EMILYs List
- End Citizens United
- Houston LGBTQ+ Political Caucus
- SEIU · Texas
Celebrity1
Celebrity · 1
- Mark White · te, son of former governor Mark White and former 2026 gubernatorial candidate
DChris Bell0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money in this primary
FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing —No FEC committee filings yet for the Democratic primary candidates. Most primary candidates file quarterly; if the primary is recent the data may take a few weeks to appear.
In the news
40 shown · last 30d · Google NewsNews volume · 30d
106 articles · building history
News volume · last 30d
Articles106
Trendbuilding history
Article counts indexed by Google News; the sparkline traces weekly volume across the window.
Net favorability
+0.06
Coverage lean (D−R) · shift −0.03 wk
Net favorability
Score+0.06
Week-over-weekshift −0.03 wk
Tone of coverage, D minus R, scored from −1 (all R-favorable) to +1 (all D-favorable). 0 is balanced.
Coverage tilt
D 6%
Neutral 94%
6% of outlets rated · by editorial lean
Coverage tilt · by outlet lean
D-leaning outlets6%
Neutral94%
R-leaning outlets0%
6% of outlets classified by editorial lean
K
Gov. Abbott calls for banning data center development in rural Texas neighborhoods
D
Texas Governor Abbott calls for data centers to be banned in rural areas
S
A conversation with Gov. Greg Abbott
H
Abbott taps a former GOP primary rival as Texas' new comptroller. What happened between the two?
K
Race for Texas governor could be headed to the debate stage
G
Governor Abbott Celebrates Caterpillar’s $5 Million Investment In Texas’ Manufacturing Workforce
F
Huffines appointed new Texas comptroller by Gov. Abbott
T
Rep. Nate Schatzline resigns from Texas House to lead “election integrity” policy in Gov. Abbott’s office
E
Gov. Greg Abbott, Gina Hinojosa's war chest in the Texas governor race
T
Governor Abbott Appoints Don Huffines As Comptroller Of Public Accounts
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Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 13deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested2 platformsupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE
Endorsements53 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage40 / 30dGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks