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Pollster · 680 of 1769

WMUR/UNH

GRADE CWEIGHT TIER T5D-LEAN</> Embed
↗ official site↗ methodology
Polls scored
5
Mean error
4.7 pt
Signed bias
D+4.37
Aggregation weight
0.78
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components
44
of 100 · tier · moderate

Moderate quality. Worth checking individual signals before relying on this pollster's headline.

Aggregator weight39
Verification rate0
Sample size median57
Citation rate100
Outlier rate (inv.)not yet measured
Rater alignment49
Pollster vs editorial consensus
decoupled

Across 20 graded races, WMUR/UNH's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +4.8pp. Decoupled from editorial consensus — directionally different from Cook/Sabato/IE on multiple races.

Mean delta
+4.8pp
Median delta
+4.0pp
Std-dev
3.6pp
N graded
20
Sample races (links to detail):
us-governor-2016-nhus-governor-2016-nhus-governor-2016-nh
Recent activity
Total all time
44
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0

Last poll 11/5/2016 (3530d ago)· status dormant

Per-cycle debrief appearances
CycleRankPollsMAESigned bias
2016#12 / 19155.38 ptD+5.36 pp
Recent polls