NonpartisanIndependent, data-first coverage of US elections — polls, forecasts, and prediction markets, refreshed daily.Updated daily.What's new·Methodology·Send feedback
Pollster · 226 of 1769

Research & Polling Inc.

GRADE AWEIGHT TIER T1NEUTRAL LEAN</> Embed
Polls scored
6
Mean error
2.1 pt
Signed bias
R+0.69
Aggregation weight
1.86
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components
65
of 100 · tier · strong

Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.

Aggregator weight93
Verification rate27
Sample size median81
Citation rate47
Outlier rate (inv.)not yet measured
Rater alignment61
Pollster vs editorial consensus
noisy

Across 8 graded races, Research & Polling Inc.'s released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -5.3pp. Noisy — high variance vs the consensus, hard to characterize.

Mean delta
-5.3pp
Median delta
-4.0pp
Std-dev
8.5pp
N graded
8
Recent activity
Total all time
34
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
3
Last 180d
3

Last poll 4/30/2026 (67d ago)· status active

Recent polls