Pollster · 98 of 1769
Pan Atlantic Research
Polls scored
5
Mean error
4.9 pt
Signed bias
D+2.43
Aggregation weight
1.00
Pollster vs prediction market
From 46 race-polls · 10 matched marketsPre-poll P(D) (avg)
60.9%
Market price the day before each poll dropped
Post-poll market shift
+0.1 pt
Average move within 24h of release (D+ = market moved toward D)
Market alignment
+2.7 pt
Net direction markets moved toward Pan Atlantic Research's read
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components55
of 100 · tier · moderate
Moderate quality. Worth checking individual signals before relying on this pollster's headline.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
decoupledAcross 10 graded races, Pan Atlantic Research's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +6.9pp. Decoupled from editorial consensus — directionally different from Cook/Sabato/IE on multiple races.
Mean delta
+6.9pp
Median delta
+5.0pp
Std-dev
5.3pp
N graded
10
Recent activity
Total all time
46
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
8
Last 180d
16
Recent polls
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