Pollster · 369 of 1769
Ipsos/Reuters
Polls scored
8
Mean error
6.0 pt
Signed bias
R+0.06
Aggregation weight
0.81
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components65
of 100 · tier · strong
Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
alignedAcross 11 graded races, Ipsos/Reuters's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +0.7pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
+0.7pp
Median delta
+1.0pp
Std-dev
3.7pp
N graded
11
Sample races (links to detail):
us-senate-special-2020-azus-senate-special-2020-azus-senate-special-2020-azRecent activity
Total all time
20
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | #6 / 20 | 9 | 4.95 pt | D+4.95 pp |
Recent polls
- 11/1/2020Arizona · Senate (special) · 2020Martha McSally 44.0 · Mark Kelly 53.0
- 10/31/2020Michigan · Senate · 2020Gary Peters 51.0 · John James 44.0
- 10/31/2020North Carolina · Senate · 2020Thom Tillis 46.0 · Cal Cunningham 48.0
- 10/26/2020North Carolina · Senate · 2020Thom Tillis 47.0 · Cal Cunningham 48.0
- 10/25/2020Michigan · Senate · 2020Gary Peters 50.0 · John James 44.0
- 10/20/2020Arizona · Senate (special) · 2020Martha McSally 43.0 · Mark Kelly 51.0
- 10/19/2020North Carolina · Senate · 2020Thom Tillis 47.0 · Cal Cunningham 47.0
- 10/13/2020Arizona · Senate (special) · 2020Martha McSally 41.0 · Mark Kelly 52.0
- 10/12/2020North Carolina · Senate · 2020Thom Tillis 42.0 · Cal Cunningham 46.0
- 10/6/2020Arizona · Senate (special) · 2020Martha McSally 41.0 · Mark Kelly 51.0