Pollster · 154 of 1769
East Carolina University
Polls scored
6
Mean error
3.8 pt
Signed bias
D+2.91
Aggregation weight
1.63
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components91
of 100 · tier · elite
Top-tier across most measured dimensions. Elite signal among the 6 polls scored.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
alignedAcross 15 graded races, East Carolina University's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -0.5pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
-0.5pp
Median delta
+0.0pp
Std-dev
3.5pp
N graded
15
Recent activity
Total all time
38
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | #1 / 36 | 5 | 0.97 pt | R+0.12 pp |
| 2020 | #5 / 20 | 3 | 4.92 pt | D+4.92 pp |
Recent polls
- 10/28/2024North Carolina · Governor · 2024Josh Stein 55.0 · Mark Robinson 40.0
- 9/25/2024North Carolina · Governor · 2024Josh Stein 50.0 · Mark Robinson 33.0
- 8/27/2024North Carolina · Governor · 2024Josh Stein 47.0 · Mark Robinson 41.0
- 6/2/2024North Carolina · Governor · 2024Josh Stein 44.0 · Mark Robinson 43.0
- 3/10/2024Ohio · Senate · 2024Sherrod Brown 45.0 · Bernie Moreno 41.0
- 3/10/2024Ohio · Senate · 2024Sherrod Brown 41.0 · Matt Dolan 43.0
- 3/10/2024Ohio · Senate · 2024Sherrod Brown 45.0 · Frank LaRose 40.0
- 2/11/2024North Carolina · Governor · 2024Josh Stein 41.0 · Mark Robinson 41.0
- 2/11/2024North Carolina · Governor · 2024Josh Stein 42.0 · Dale Folwell 31.0
- 2/11/2024North Carolina · Governor · 2024Josh Stein 40.0 · Bill Graham 35.0