Democratic primary · June 2, 2026
Montana house Democratic primary
Sam Forstag won the Democratic primary on June 2, 2026, advancing to the general election on November 3, 2026.
Where this race stands
VerifiedShowing the Democratic primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.
Primary result · Democratic primary
Official outcome · June 2, 2026 · forecast shown for reference1Sam ForstagSam Forstag is an American labor union leader and former smokejumper who is the Democratic Party's nominee in the 2026 election for Montana'…
2Ryan Busse
3Russell Cleveland
4Matt Rains
Polling average
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.
All polls · 1 results
strongpositiveinfocautionflag
| Date | Pollster · trust signals | n · pop | Forstag | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31 | Tulchin Research | 400 · LV | 13 | — |
Endorsements · Democratic primary · 16 total
Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yetSam Forstag · 16
DSam Forstag16 endorsers
Most notable · Kim Abbott · former minority leader of the Montana House (2021-2025) from the 83rd district (2017–present)
Elected officials10
Federal 7State 2Local 0
Elected officials · 10
- Kim Abbott · former minority leader of the Montana House (2021-2025) from the 83rd district (2017–present)
- Susan Webber · state senator from the 8th district (2019–present)
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez · NY-14 (2019–present)
- Greg Casar · TX-35 (2023–present)
- Maxwell Frost · FL-10 (2023–present)
- Pramila Jayapal · WA-07 (2017–present)
- Susie Lee · NV-03 (2019–present) (candidate's aunt)
- Bernie Sanders · Vermont (2007–present) (Independent)
- Geraldine Custer · former state representative from the 39th district (2015–2023) (Republican)
- Jamie Raskin · MD-08 (2017-present)
Organizations6
Organizations · 6
- AFL-CIO · AFL-CIO
- American Federation of Government Employees
- Association of Flight Attendants
- Congressional Progressive Caucus · PAC
- National Federation of Federal Employees
- Our Revolution
Money in this primary
FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing 2026-05-07No FEC committee filings yet for the Democratic primary candidates. Most primary candidates file quarterly; if the primary is recent the data may take a few weeks to appear.
In the news
25 shown · last 30d · Google NewsNews volume · 30d
25 articles · building history
News volume · last 30d
Articles25
Trendbuilding history
Article counts indexed by Google News; the sparkline traces weekly volume across the window.
Net favorability
+0.20
Coverage lean (D−R) · shift +0.16 wk
Net favorability
Score+0.20
Week-over-weekshift +0.16 wk
Tone of coverage, D minus R, scored from −1 (all R-favorable) to +1 (all D-favorable). 0 is balanced.
Coverage tilt
D 20%
Neutral 80%
20% of outlets rated · by editorial lean
Coverage tilt · by outlet lean
D-leaning outlets20%
Neutral80%
R-leaning outlets0%
20% of outlets classified by editorial lean
Y
New Montana Medicaid rules prompt rally at state Capitol
N
Sam Forstag Can’t Hide The Socialist Stench
N
Montanans support cigarette tax increase, poll says
D
Montanans support cigarette tax increase, poll says
N
Montana U.S. Senate Election 2026: Latest Polls
N
Montana First Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
N
Montana Primary Election Results
N
Montana First Congressional District Primary Election Results
F
Group responsible for $3 million to Democrat in Montana Senate race pulls support
M
Group responsible for $3 million to Democrat in Montana Senate race pulls support
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Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 1deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested2 platformsupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2026-05-07
Endorsements41 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage25 / 30dGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks