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Races · house · 2026 · Montana · general · Democratic primary
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PhasesShowing the Democratic primary. Other views:general election·Republican primary
Democratic primary · June 2, 2026

Montana house Democratic primary

Sam Forstag won the Democratic primary on June 2, 2026, advancing to the general election on November 3, 2026.

Primary passed· 1 polls
Where this race stands
Verified

Showing the Democratic primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.

Primary result · Democratic primary

Official outcome · June 2, 2026 · forecast shown for reference
1Sam ForstagSam Forstag is an American labor union leader and former smokejumper who is the Democratic Party's nominee in the 2026 election for Montana'…24.8%✓ Won
2Ryan Busse26.1%
3Russell Cleveland15.3%
4Matt Rains6.8%

Polling average

1015202530354045FORSTAG 43.9JAN '26APR '26JUN '26
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.

All polls · 1 results

strongpositiveinfocautionflag
DatePollster · trust signalsn · popForstagLead
Mar 31Tulchin Research400 · LV13

Endorsements · Democratic primary · 16 total

Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yet
16
Sam Forstag · 16
DSam Forstag16 endorsers
Most notable · Kim Abbott · former minority leader of the Montana House (2021-2025) from the 83rd district (2017–present)
Elected officials10
Federal 7State 2Local 0
Organizations6

Money in this primary

FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing 2026-05-07

No FEC committee filings yet for the Democratic primary candidates. Most primary candidates file quarterly; if the primary is recent the data may take a few weeks to appear.

In the news

25 shown · last 30d · Google News
News volume · 30d
25 articles · building history
Net favorability
+0.20
Coverage lean (D−R) · shift +0.16 wk
Coverage tilt
D 20%
Neutral 80%
20% of outlets rated · by editorial lean
Y
ypradio.org · 22h ago
New Montana Medicaid rules prompt rally at state Capitol
Neutral
N
nrcc.org · 22h ago
Sam Forstag Can’t Hide The Socialist Stench
Neutral
N
northscottpress.com · 5d ago
Montanans support cigarette tax increase, poll says
Neutral
D
dailymontanan.com · 5d ago
Montanans support cigarette tax increase, poll says
Neutral
N
nytimes.com · 6d ago
Montana U.S. Senate Election 2026: Latest Polls
D-favorable
N
nytimes.com · 6d ago
Montana First Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
D-favorable
N
nytimes.com · 7d ago
Montana Primary Election Results
D-favorable
N
nytimes.com · 7d ago
Montana First Congressional District Primary Election Results
D-favorable
F
fairfieldsuntimes.com · 8d ago
Group responsible for $3 million to Democrat in Montana Senate race pulls support
Neutral
M
montanarightnow.com · 8d ago
Group responsible for $3 million to Democrat in Montana Senate race pulls support
Neutral
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Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 1deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested2 platformsupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2026-05-07
Endorsements41 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage25 / 30dGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks