Races · house · 2024 · CA
house · open seat

Melissa Hurtado vs Chris Mathys

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Tossup — · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands
Verified

Tossup

tossup

Money in this race

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-12-06
Total IE spending
$10.9M
For candidates
$918K
Against candidates
$9.9M
Latest filing: 12/6/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
David Valadao (R)
$789K for · $9.0M against
Cash on hand
$46K
Total raised (cycle)
$4.9M
Total spent
$4.9M
Debts
$14K
Source: FEC
Chris Mathys (R)
$0 for · $928K against
Cash on hand
$2K
Total raised (cycle)
$339K
Total spent
$337K
Debts
$521K
Source: FEC
Rudy Salas (D)
$128K for · $0 against
Cash on hand
$206K
Total raised (cycle)
$6.5M
Total spent
$6.3M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
Melissa Hurtado (D)
$718 for · $15K against
Cash on hand
$370
Total raised (cycle)
$85K
Total spent
$84K
Debts
$28K
Source: FEC

Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).

last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
  • 5/6/2026 Tossup via pvi