Races · house · 2022 · NM
house · open seat
Gabe Vasquez vs Yvette Herrell
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Tossup
tossup
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-11-28Total IE spending
$28.8M
For candidates
$2.2M
Against candidates
$26.7M
Latest filing: 11/28/2022
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Yvette Herrell (R)
$1.6M for ·
$26.7M against
Cash on hand
$107K
Total raised (cycle)
$4.4M
Total spent
$4.4M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $18.4M against HOUSE MAJORITY PAC Super PAC
- $7.9M against DCCC Party
- $897K for AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION Super PAC
- $353K for AMERICAN LEADERSHIP PAC Super PAC
- $293K against TOGETHER MOVING MOUNTAINS NEW MEXICO PAC
Gabe Vasquez (D)
$515K for ·
$6K against
Cash on hand
$23K
Total raised (cycle)
$3.7M
Total spent
$3.7M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $487K for WFP NATIONAL PAC Super PAC
- $23K for SOMOS ACCION PAC
- $6K against CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $5K for BLUE CD2 NEW MEXICO USA Super PAC
- $155 for ENVIRONMENT AMERICA ACTION FUND Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Tossup via pvi