Public domain
DemocratRunning for NM-2 U.S. House · 2026
Gabe Vasquez
Gabriel Vasquez is an American politician serving as the U.S. representative for New Mexico's 2nd congressional district since 2023. A member of the Democratic Party, he previously served on the Las Cruces City Council from 2017 to 2021. Vasquez's district covers southern New Mexico, including Las Cruces, Carlsbad, and the southern fourth of Albuquerque.
Born 1984 · El Paso, Texas , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
Gabe Vasquez is the Democratic U.S. representative for New Mexico's 2nd district, serving since 2023, and is seeking re-election. He previously served on the Las Cruces City Council from 2017 to 2021. In polling, he leads at about 46% compared to opponent Greg Cunningham at roughly 38%. He has raised approximately $3 million for his campaign, with Polymarket traders assigning him about an 80% chance of winning.
45.7%
Polling average
our aggregate
82%
Win probability
market-implied
$3.2M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Vasquez's money comes from.
C−
38/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance24
12% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
28% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding28
72% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
$123 in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Vasquez did in office.
MeasureYearAction
Protecting America’s Herds Act
Referred to the House Committee on Agriculture.
2026
Sponsored
To establish a W nonimmigrant visa program for careworkers.
Referred to the House Committee on the Judiciary.
2026
Sponsored
Public Lands Integrity Act
Referred to the Committee on Rules, and in addition to the Committee on the Budget, for a period to be subsequently determined by the Speaker, in each
2026
Sponsored
Waste Heat to Wattage Act of 2026
Referred to the Subcommittee on Commodity Markets, Digital Assets, and Rural Development.
2026
Sponsored
Farmer to Farmer Education Act of 2026
Referred to the House Committee on Agriculture.
2026
Sponsored
Downwinder Commemoration Act of 2025
Ordered to be Reported in the Nature of a Substitute by Unanimous Consent.
2025
Sponsored
Feed Our Veterans Act
Referred to the Subcommittee on Nutrition and Foreign Agriculture.
2026
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Vasquez votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Vasquez
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-left
Overall lean
34
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 587 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
92%voted with Democrats · 8% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2017Council member
2017–2021
2023United States representative
since 2023
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$3.2M
Raised
$1.2M
Spent
$2.0M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
12% small (<$200)60% large indiv.28% PAC
28% in-state · 72% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Vasquez is running in.
NM · HOUSE · 2026lean d
Vasquez (D) vs Greg Cunningham (R)
45.7%+7.4 Vasquez38.3%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Vasquez and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: US HOUSE OFFICE OF PHOTOGRAPHY · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
Democrat · NM-2 U.S. House
Gabe Vasquez
Gabriel Vasquez is an American politician serving as the U.S. representative for New Mexico's 2nd congressional district since 2023. A member of the Democratic Party, he previously served on the Las Cruces City Council from 2017 to 2021. Vasquez's district covers southern New Mexico, including Las Cruces, Carlsbad, and the southern fourth of Albuquerque.
Where Vasquez standsRace →
Vasquez 45.7%Greg Cunningham 38.3%
Market · wins
82¢
45.7%
Poll avg
82%
Win prob
$3.2M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03Gabe Vasquez is the Democratic U.S. representative for New Mexico's 2nd district, serving since 2023, and is seeking re-election. He previously served on the Las Cruces City Council from 2017 to 2021. In polling, he leads at about 46% compared to opponent Greg Cunningham at roughly 38%. He has raised approximately $3 million for his campaign, with Polymarket traders assigning him about an 80% chance of winning.
Governing & voting record
Protecting America’s Herds Act
2026 · SPONSORED
To establish a W nonimmigrant visa program for careworkers.
2026 · SPONSORED
Public Lands Integrity Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Waste Heat to Wattage Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Farmer to Farmer Education Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Downwinder Commemoration Act of 2025
2025 · SPONSORED
Feed Our Veterans Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2017Council member
2017–2021
2023United States representative
since 2023
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Vasquez's money comes from.
C−
38/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance24
12% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
28% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding28
72% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
$123 in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Vasquez votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Vasquez
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-left
Overall lean
34
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 587 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
92%voted with Democrats · 8% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$3.2M
Raised
$1.2M
Spent
$2.0M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
12% small (<$200)60% large indiv.28% PAC
28% in-state · 72% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Related prediction markets
All markets →Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: US HOUSE OFFICE OF PHOTOGRAPHY · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)