Races · house · 2022 · CA
house · open seat
Rudy Salas vs David Valadao
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Tossup
tossup
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-12-20Total IE spending
$31.8M
For candidates
$10.1M
Against candidates
$21.7M
Latest filing: 12/20/2022
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
David Valadao (R)
$742K for ·
$16.1M against
Cash on hand
$48K
Total raised (cycle)
$3.7M
Total spent
$3.8M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $14.4M against HOUSE MAJORITY PAC Super PAC
- $1.3M against VPP Super PAC
- $424K against DCCC Party
- $291K for CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $115K for DEFENDING MAIN STREET SUPERPAC INC. Super PAC
Rudy Salas (D)
$9.3M for ·
$5.6M against
Cash on hand
$14K
Total raised (cycle)
$3.0M
Total spent
$2.9M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $8.5M for DCCC Party
- $4.0M against NRCC Party
- $1.6M against CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $200K for VALLEY WORKS ACTION FUND Super PAC
- $173K for COMMUNITIES FOR A NEW CALIFORNIA C4 PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Tossup via pvi