Public domain
RepublicanRunning for CA-22 U.S. House · 2026
David Valadao
David Goncalves Valadao is an American politician and former dairy farmer serving as the U.S. representative for California's 22nd congressional district since 2023, previously representing California's 21st congressional district. His district comprises part of the San Joaquin Valley. He is a member of the Republican Party.
Born 1977 · Hanford, California , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
David Valadao, a U.S. representative since 2023 and former dairy farmer, is seeking election to California's 22nd House seat. He leads polling at approximately 45% versus opponent Randy Villegas's roughly 24%, though market odds place his win probability at around 20%. With roughly $4 million raised, he previously served in the House during 2013–2019.
44.6%
Polling average
our aggregate
18%
Win probability
market-implied
$4.2M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Valadao's money comes from.
C−
33/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance6
3% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
59% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding33
67% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure93
$342k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Valadao did in office.
MeasureYearAction
Social Security Number Fraud Prevention Act of 2017
Became Public Law No: 115-59.
2017
Became law
Tulare Youth Recreation and Women’s History Enhancement Act
Subcommittee Hearings Held
2026
Sponsored
Locating Our Unclaimed Veterans Act
Forwarded by Subcommittee to Full Committee by Voice Vote.
2026
Sponsored
Expressing support for the designation of June as Portuguese National Heritage Month.
Referred to the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform.
2026
Sponsored
TOURS Act
Referred to the House Committee on Veterans' Affairs.
2026
Sponsored
Romance Scam Prevention Act
Read twice. Placed on Senate Legislative Calendar under General Orders. Calendar No. 438.
2025
Sponsored
Making appropriations for the Legislative Branch for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2027, and for other
Placed on the Union Calendar, Calendar No. 580.
2026
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Valadao votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Valadao
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
63
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 581 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
95%voted with Republicans · 5% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2010Member of the California State Assembly
2010–2012
2013United States representative
2013–2019
2021United States representative
since 2021
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$4.2M
Raised
$1.4M
Spent
$2.9M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
3% small (<$200)38% large indiv.59% PAC
33% in-state · 67% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Valadao is running in.
CA · HOUSE · 2026safe r
Valadao (R) vs Randy Villegas (D)
44.6%+20.1 Valadao24.4%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Valadao and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: HOUSE CREATIVE COMMITTEE · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Republican · CA-22 U.S. House
David Valadao
David Goncalves Valadao is an American politician and former dairy farmer serving as the U.S. representative for California's 22nd congressional district since 2023, previously representing California's 21st congressional district. His district comprises part of the San Joaquin Valley. He is a member of the Republican Party.
Where Valadao standsRace →
Valadao 44.6%Randy Villegas 24.4%
Market · wins
18¢
44.6%
Poll avg
18%
Win prob
$4.2M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03David Valadao, a U.S. representative since 2023 and former dairy farmer, is seeking election to California's 22nd House seat. He leads polling at approximately 45% versus opponent Randy Villegas's roughly 24%, though market odds place his win probability at around 20%. With roughly $4 million raised, he previously served in the House during 2013–2019.
Governing & voting record
Social Security Number Fraud Prevention Act of 2017
2017 · BECAME LAW
Tulare Youth Recreation and Women’s History Enhancement Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Locating Our Unclaimed Veterans Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Expressing support for the designation of June as Portuguese National Heritage Month.
2026 · SPONSORED
TOURS Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Romance Scam Prevention Act
2025 · SPONSORED
Making appropriations for the Legislative Branch for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2027, and for other
2026 · SPONSORED
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2010Member of the California State Assembly
2010–2012
2013United States representative
2013–2019
2021United States representative
since 2021
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Valadao's money comes from.
C−
33/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance6
3% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
59% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding33
67% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure93
$342k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Valadao votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Valadao
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
63
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 581 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
95%voted with Republicans · 5% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$4.2M
Raised
$1.4M
Spent
$2.9M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
3% small (<$200)38% large indiv.59% PAC
33% in-state · 67% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: HOUSE CREATIVE COMMITTEE · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)