Republican primary · June 30, 2026
Colorado Governor Republican primary
Field of 3 Republican candidates competing for the party's nomination. Winner advances to the general election on November 3, 2026.
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 22d ago, but only 1 poll has landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
VerifiedShowing the Republican primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.
How confident are we?0 = certain · 100 = max uncertain
Combined
80
High uncertainty
Main driver: wide vote-share CI (21.6pp).
Forecast CI width72
21.6pp 80% interval
Forecast CI width
Contribution72 / 100
Measured21.6pp 80% interval
Each driver is scaled 0–100; higher pushes the combined uncertainty score up. Lower it with more recent, tightly-clustered polls and models that agree.
Polling sparsity88
1 polls in 60d · target ≥ 8
Polling sparsity
Contribution88 / 100
Measured1 polls in 60d · target ≥ 8
Each driver is scaled 0–100; higher pushes the combined uncertainty score up. Lower it with more recent, tightly-clustered polls and models that agree.
Forecast · Republican primary
primary-struct-v1 · medium confidence · 2 polls + fundamentals1Victor MarxVictor Marx ( Republican Party ) is running for election for Governor of Colorado . He is on the ballot in the Republican primary on June 30…
2Barbara KirkmeyerBarbara Kirkmeyer ( Republican Party ) is a member of the Colorado State Senate , representing District 23 . She assumed office on January 1…
3Scott BottomsScott Bottoms ( Republican Party ) is a member of the Colorado House of Representatives , representing District 15 . He assumed office on Ja…
All polls · 2 results
strongpositiveinfocautionflag
| Date | Pollster · trust signals | n · pop | Marx | Kirkmeyer | Bottoms | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20 | Cygnal | 606 · RV | 42 | 13 | — | +29 |
| May 7 | Cygnal | 600 · LV | 42 | 13 | 7 | +29 |
Endorsements · Republican primary · 12 total
Source · Wikipedia · 1 candidate with no endorsements yetBarbara Kirkmeyer · 7Victor Marx · 5
RBarbara Kirkmeyer7 endorsers
Most notable · Bill Owens · former governor of Colorado (1999–2007)
Elected officials5
Federal 2State 1Local 2
Elected officials · 5
- Bill Owens · former governor of Colorado (1999–2007)
- Gabe Evans · CO-08 (2025–present)
- John Suthers · former Mayor of Colorado Springs (2015-2023)
- Mike Coffman · mayor of Aurora (2019–present)
- Scott McInnis · former CO-03 (1993–2005)
Newspapers2
Newspapers · 2
- Colorado Springs Gazette
- Denver Gazette
RVictor Marx5 endorsers
Most notable · Lauren Boebert · CO-04 (2021–present)
Celebrity2
Celebrity · 2
- Derek Wolfe · former NFL player
- Ted Nugent · rock musician
Elected officials2
Federal 1State 0Local 1
Elected officials · 2
- Lauren Boebert · CO-04 (2021–present)
- Heidi Ganahl · former member of the University of Colorado Board of Regents from the at-large district (2017–2023) and 2022 gubernatorial nominee
Other1
Other · 1
- Michael Flynn · former national security advisor (2017)
RScott Bottoms0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
In the news
10 shown · last 30d · Google NewsNews volume · 30d
10 articles · building history
News volume · last 30d
Articles10
Trendbuilding history
Article counts indexed by Google News; the sparkline traces weekly volume across the window.
Net favorability
+0.10
Coverage lean (D−R) · first week of data
Net favorability
Score+0.10
Week-over-weekfirst week of data
Tone of coverage, D minus R, scored from −1 (all R-favorable) to +1 (all D-favorable). 0 is balanced.
Coverage tilt
D 10%
Neutral 90%
10% of outlets rated · by editorial lean
Coverage tilt · by outlet lean
D-leaning outlets10%
Neutral90%
R-leaning outlets0%
10% of outlets classified by editorial lean
N
Colorado’s Primary for Governor Pivots to Trump and Who Will Fight Him
S
POLL: Weiser pulls ahead of Bennet in Colorado Democratic primary for governor
C
Phil Weiser leading Michael Bennet in Colorado’s Democratic gubernatorial primary, internal poll finds
C
Phil Weiser leads Michael Bennet in new poll, with Colorado’s Democratic primary for governor coming down to undecided voters
S
What the polls say about the primary races for Colorado governor
P
What the polls say about the primary races for Colorado governor
C
These Colorado candidates are pitching primary voters on flipping seats in November
C
Weiser leads Bennet in new Colorado governor poll as primary nears
P
How Republican candidates for Colorado governor say they’ll bridge the urban-rural divide
R
Colorado candidates for governor outline plans at 'Women Decide' forum
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 2deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested2 platformsupdated 11h ago
FEC filings—no filings yet
Endorsements44 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage10 / 30dGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks