Democratic primary · June 30, 2026
Colorado Governor Democratic primary
Field of 2 Democratic candidates competing for the party's nomination. Winner advances to the general election on November 3, 2026.
Where this race stands
VerifiedShowing the Democratic primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.
How confident are we?0 = certain · 100 = max uncertain
Combined
39
Medium uncertainty
Main driver: wide vote-share CI (12.0pp).
Forecast CI width40
12.0pp 80% interval
Forecast CI width
Contribution40 / 100
Measured12.0pp 80% interval
Each driver is scaled 0–100; higher pushes the combined uncertainty score up. Lower it with more recent, tightly-clustered polls and models that agree.
Polling sparsity38
5 polls in 60d · target ≥ 8
Polling sparsity
Contribution38 / 100
Measured5 polls in 60d · target ≥ 8
Each driver is scaled 0–100; higher pushes the combined uncertainty score up. Lower it with more recent, tightly-clustered polls and models that agree.
Forecast · Democratic primary
primary-struct-v1 · high confidence · 6 polls + fundamentals1Michael BennetMichael Farrand Bennet (born November 28, 1964) is an American attorney and politician serving as the senior United States senator from Colo…
2Phil WeiserPhil Weiser ( Democratic Party ) is the Attorney General of Colorado . He assumed office on January 8, 2019. His current term ends on Januar…
All polls · 8 results
strongpositiveinfocautionflag
| Date | Pollster · trust signals | n · pop | Bennet | Weiser | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 26 | Public Policy Polling | 600 · LV | 36 | 45 | +9 |
| Jun 10, 26 | Colorado Community Research | 796 · LV | 34 | 41 | +7 |
| Jun 1, 26 | Public Policy Polling | 505 · LV | 36 | 30 | +6 |
| May 31, 26 | Tavern Research | — · unknown | 35 | 28 | +7 |
| May 27, 26 | Colorado Community Research | 796 · LV | 34 | 41 | +7 |
| Jan 31, 26 | Keating Research | 800 · LV | 53 | 26 | +27 |
| Jun 10, 25 | Global Strategy Group | 600 · LV | 53 | 22 | +31 |
| Dec 8, 24 | Healthier Colorado (D)/Magellan Strategies | 630 · LV | — | 8 | — |
Endorsements · Democratic primary · 32 total
Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yetMichael Bennet · 18Phil Weiser · 14
DMichael Bennet18 endorsers
Most notable · Daneya Esgar · former majority leader of the Colorado House of Representatives (2021–2023) from HD-46 (2015–2023)
Elected officials16
Federal 4State 9Local 3
Elected officials · 16
- Daneya Esgar · former majority leader of the Colorado House of Representatives (2021–2023) from HD-46 (2015–2023)
- Julie McCluskie · speaker of the Colorado House of Representatives (2023–present) from HD-13 (2019–present)
- Brittany Pettersen · CO-07 (2023–present)
- Jason Crow · CO-06 (2019–present)
- Joe Neguse · CO-02 (2019–present)
- Nick Hinrichsen · SD-03 (2022–present)
- Tisha Mauro · HD-46 (2023–present)
- Leroy Garcia · former president of the Colorado Senate (2019–2022) from SD-03 (2015–2022)
- Steve Fenberg · former president of the Colorado Senate (2022–2025) from SD-18 (2017–2025)
- Brianna Buentello · former HD-47 (2019–2021)
- James Coleman · president of the Colorado Senate (2025–present) from SD-33 (2021–present)
- John Hickenlooper · Colorado (2021–present)
- Michael Hancock · former mayor of Denver (2011–2023)
- Mike Johnston · mayor of Denver (2023–present)
- Sal Pace · former HD-46 (2009–2012)
- Wellington Webb · former mayor of Denver (1991–2003)
Organizations2
Organizations · 2
- Colorado Professional Fire Fighters
- UA Pipefitters Union · Local 208
DPhil Weiser14 endorsers
Most notable · Terrance Carroll · former speaker of the Colorado House of Representatives (2009–2011) from HD-07 (2003–2011)
Elected officials10
Federal 4State 5Local 1
Elected officials · 10
- Terrance Carroll · former speaker of the Colorado House of Representatives (2009–2011) from HD-07 (2003–2011)
- Roy Romer · former governor of Colorado (1987–1999)
- Javier Mabrey · HD-01 (2023–present)
- Brandon Shaffer · former president of the Colorado Senate (2009–2013) from SD-17 (2005–2013)
- Morgan Carroll · former president of the Colorado Senate (2015–2017) from SD-29 (2013–2019)
- David Skaggs · former CO-02 (1987–1999)
- Ed Perlmutter · former CO-07 (2007–2023)
- Federico Peña · former secretary of energy (1997–1998)
- Jennifer Arndt · former mayor of Fort Collins (2021–2026)
- Tim Wirth · former Colorado (1987–1993)
Organizations2
Organizations · 2
- Indivisible · Colorado
- UFCW · Local 7
Celebrity1
Celebrity · 1
- Dottie Lamm · former first lady of Colorado (1975–1987)
Newspapers1
Newspapers · 1
- The Durango Herald
In the news
10 shown · last 30d · Google NewsNews volume · 30d
10 articles · building history
News volume · last 30d
Articles10
Trendbuilding history
Article counts indexed by Google News; the sparkline traces weekly volume across the window.
Net favorability
+0.10
Coverage lean (D−R) · first week of data
Net favorability
Score+0.10
Week-over-weekfirst week of data
Tone of coverage, D minus R, scored from −1 (all R-favorable) to +1 (all D-favorable). 0 is balanced.
Coverage tilt
D 10%
Neutral 90%
10% of outlets rated · by editorial lean
Coverage tilt · by outlet lean
D-leaning outlets10%
Neutral90%
R-leaning outlets0%
10% of outlets classified by editorial lean
N
Colorado’s Primary for Governor Pivots to Trump and Who Will Fight Him
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POLL: Weiser pulls ahead of Bennet in Colorado Democratic primary for governor
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Phil Weiser leading Michael Bennet in Colorado’s Democratic gubernatorial primary, internal poll finds
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Phil Weiser leads Michael Bennet in new poll, with Colorado’s Democratic primary for governor coming down to undecided voters
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What the polls say about the primary races for Colorado governor
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What the polls say about the primary races for Colorado governor
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These Colorado candidates are pitching primary voters on flipping seats in November
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Weiser leads Bennet in new Colorado governor poll as primary nears
P
How Republican candidates for Colorado governor say they’ll bridge the urban-rural divide
R
Colorado candidates for governor outline plans at 'Women Decide' forum
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 8deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested2 platformsupdated 11h ago
FEC filings—no filings yet
Endorsements44 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage10 / 30dGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks