Pollster · 94 of 1053
Suffolk University
GRADE A+ NEUTRAL LEAN ★ AAPOR TI MEMBER
Polls scored
140
Mean error
2.8 pt
Signed bias
D+0.15
Aggregation weight
1.44
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components 73
of 100 · tier · strong
Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
aligned Across 55 graded races, Suffolk University's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +0.8pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
+0.8pp
Median delta
+0.0pp
Std-dev
5.3pp
N graded
55
Recent activity
Total all time
140
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
2
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | #6 / 26 | 3 | 2.01 pt | D+2.01 pp |
| 2022 | #5 / 36 | 3 | 1.55 pt | R+0.39 pp |
| 2018 | #5 / 25 | 4 | 2.80 pt | R+1.04 pp |
| 2014 | #8 / 21 | 3 | 3.87 pt | R+0.72 pp |
Recent polls
- 11/23/2025 us-senate-2026-ma Ed Markey 54.0 · John Deaton 31.0
- 11/23/2025 us-senate-2026-ma Seth Moulton 52.0 · John Deaton 29.0
- 10/30/2024 us-senate-2024-pa Bob Casey Jr. 49.0 · Dave McCormick 46.0
- 10/27/2024 us-senate-2024-mi Elissa Slotkin 47.0 · Mike Rogers 45.0
- 10/23/2024 us-senate-2024-wi Tammy Baldwin 46.0 · Eric Hovde 44.0
- 10/6/2024 us-senate-2024-ma Elizabeth Warren 59.0 · John Deaton 35.0
- 9/24/2024 us-senate-2024-az Ruben Gallego 47.0 · Kari Lake 41.0
- 9/19/2024 us-senate-2024-mi Elissa Slotkin 45.0 · Mike Rogers 43.0
- 9/14/2024 us-senate-2024-pa Bob Casey Jr. 47.0 · Dave McCormick 43.0
- 7/12/2023 us-senate-2024-oh Sherrod Brown 48.0 · Bernie Moreno 41.0