Pollster · 523 of 1053

0ptimus

GRADE A+ NEUTRAL LEAN
↗ Wikipedia
Polls scored
13
Mean error
0.8 pt
Signed bias
R+0.63
Aggregation weight
4.00
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components
80
of 100 · tier · elite

Top-tier across most dimensions. Elite signal among the 13 polls scored.

Aggregator weight 100
Verification rate 8
Sample size median 100
Citation rate 100
Outlier rate (inv.) 100
Rater alignment 90
Pollster vs editorial consensus
aligned

Across 6 graded races, 0ptimus's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -1.3pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.

Mean delta
-1.3pp
Median delta
-1.5pp
Std-dev
2.6pp
N graded
6
Sample races (links to detail):
us-senate-2020-scus-governor-2014-flus-governor-2014-fl
Recent activity
Total all time
13
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0

Last poll 11/2/2020 (2014d ago) · status dormant

Per-cycle debrief appearances
Cycle Rank Polls MAE Signed bias
2014 #1 / 21 3 0.98 pt R+0.93 pp
Recent polls