Runoff election · May 16, 2026
Louisiana Senate runoff election
Field of 0 candidates running on a single ballot (jungle / nonpartisan format). Top finishers advance to the general election on November 3, 2026.
Where this race stands
VerifiedShowing the runoff election view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.
Forecast · runoff election
primary-struct-v1 · high confidence · 6 polls + fundamentals1Letlow
2Fleming
All polls · 6 results
strongpositiveinfocautionflag
| Date | Pollster · trust signals | n · pop | Lean | Bias · track | vs raters | D · R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24 | Quantus Insights | 770 · LV | NEUTRAL | — | — | 48 |
| May 31 | Kaplan Strategies | 850 · LV | NEUTRAL | — | — | 52 |
| May 21 | Harper Polling | 457 · LV | NEUTRAL | — | — | 52 |
| May 16 | Quantus Insights | 1,015 · LV | NEUTRAL | — | — | 45 |
| Mar 24 | American Pulse | 455 · LV | NEUTRAL | — | — | 37 |
| Feb 24 | Quantus Insights | 1,428 · LV | NEUTRAL | — | — | 32 |
Money in this primary
FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing 2026-06-29Bill CassidyS4LA00107 ↗
Raised
$6.73M
Cash on hand
$5.52M
Top industries
Securities & investment$28K
Securities & investment · $28K
- Blackstone · $28K
Individuals $28K · PACs $0
Health professionals$22K
Health professionals · $22K
- Hospital for Special Surgery · $22K
Individuals $22K · PACs $0
Pharma / health products$21K
Pharma / health products · $21K
- Crinetics Pharmaceuticals · $21K
Individuals $21K · PACs $0
In the news
13 shown · last 30d · Google NewsNews volume · 30d
13 articles · building history
News volume · last 30d
Articles13
Trendbuilding history
Article counts indexed by Google News; the sparkline traces weekly volume across the window.
Net favorability
+0.23
Coverage lean (D−R) · first week of data
Net favorability
Score+0.23
Week-over-weekfirst week of data
Tone of coverage, D minus R, scored from −1 (all R-favorable) to +1 (all D-favorable). 0 is balanced.
Coverage tilt
D 23%
Neutral 77%
23% of outlets rated · by editorial lean
Coverage tilt · by outlet lean
D-leaning outlets23%
Neutral77%
R-leaning outlets0%
23% of outlets classified by editorial lean
W
Letlow, Davis advance in Louisiana’s U.S. Senate race
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Polls open for Louisiana runoff election | Everything you need to know
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Live results: Letlow, Fleming duke it out in Louisiana Senate runoff after Cassidy primary ouster
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Louisiana Senate Primary Runoff Election 2026 Live Results
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Louisiana U.S. Senate Election 2026: Latest Polls
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How to vote in Louisiana's closed party primary Senate election
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June 27, 2026: Louisiana Democratic Senate nominee Elections Prediction Market
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Attack ad barrage, slim turnout: Louisiana Senate race has Letlow, Fleming down to the wire
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Louisiana Fifth Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
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Voter guide: Louisiana's June 27 primary runoff election
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Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 6deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested2 platformsupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2026-06-29
Endorsements33 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage13 / 30dGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks