Republican primary · March 3, 2026
Texas house Republican primary
Alex Mealer won the Republican primary on March 3, 2026, advancing to the general election on November 3, 2026.
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 22d ago, but only 1 poll has landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
VerifiedShowing the Republican primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.
Primary result · Republican primary
Official outcome · March 3, 2026 · forecast shown for reference1Alex MealerAlexandra Mealer is an American former investment banker, United States Army veteran, and politician. A member of the Republican Party, she …
2Briscoe Cain
3Dan Mims
4Steve Stockman
All polls · 5 results
strongpositiveinfocautionflag
| Date | Pollster · trust signals | n · pop | Mealer | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 26 | University of Houston | 400 · LV | 50 | — |
| Feb 10, 26 | Pulse Decision Science | 400 · LV | 29 | — |
| Feb 9, 26 | University of Houston | 400 · LV | 34 | — |
| Dec 16, 25 | Pulse Decision Science | 400 · LV | 19 | — |
| Oct 22, 25 | McLaughlin & Associates | 400 · LV | 16 | — |
Endorsements · Republican primary · 13 total
Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yetAlex Mealer · 13
RAlex Mealer13 endorsers
Most notable · Donald Trump · president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)
Elected officials6
Federal 5State 0Local 0
Elected officials · 6
- Donald Trump · president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)
- Steve Scalise · House majority leader (2023–present) from LA-01 (2008–present)
- Tom Emmer · House majority whip (2023–present) from MN–08 (2015–present)
- Brian Babin · TX-36 (2015–present)
- Jim Jordan · OH-04 (2007–present)
- David McIntosh · former IN-02 (1995–2001)
Organizations6
Organizations · 6
- Club for Growth
- Maggie's List
- Municipal Police Association · ociation
- Police Association · ssociation
- Police Officer's Union · r's Union
- Police Retired Officers Association · ociation
Celebrity1
Celebrity · 1
- Jim McIngvale · businessman
Money in this primary
FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing 2026-07-03Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 5deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested1 platformupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2026-07-03
Endorsements45 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks