Republican primary · March 3, 2026
Texas house Republican primary
Ryan Binkley advanced to a runoff for the Republican nomination after the March 3, 2026 primary.
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 22d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
VerifiedShowing the Republican primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.
Primary result · Republican primary
Official outcome · March 3, 2026 · forecast shown for reference1Ryan BinkleyRyan Lee Binkley is an American pastor, businessman and politician. With his wife Ellie, he co-founded the Richardson, Texas-based Create Ch…
2Katrina Pierson
3Darrell Day
4Will Douglas
All polls · 1 results
strongpositiveinfocautionflag
| Date | Pollster · trust signals | n · pop | Binkley | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | Stratus Intellegence | 411 · LV | 4 | — |
Endorsements · Republican primary · 2 total
Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yetRyan Binkley · 2
RRyan Binkley2 endorsers
Most notable · Jake Ellzey · TX-06 (2021–present)
Celebrity1
Celebrity · 1
- Lance Wallnau · televangelist
Elected officials1
Federal 1State 0Local 0
Elected officials · 1
- Jake Ellzey · TX-06 (2021–present)
Money in this primary
FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing 2026-03-14Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 1deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested1 platformupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2026-03-14
Endorsements5 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks