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Races · house · 2026 · Texas · general · Republican primary
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PhasesShowing the Republican primary. Other views:general election
Republican primary · March 3, 2026

Texas house Republican primary

Ryan Binkley advanced to a runoff for the Republican nomination after the March 3, 2026 primary.

Primary passed· 1 polls
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 22d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands
Verified

Showing the Republican primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.

Primary result · Republican primary

Official outcome · March 3, 2026 · forecast shown for reference
1Ryan BinkleyRyan Lee Binkley is an American pastor, businessman and politician. With his wife Ellie, he co-founded the Richardson, Texas-based Create Ch…18.9%→ Runoff
2Katrina Pierson7.0%
3Darrell Day4.6%
4Will Douglas2.5%

All polls · 1 results

strongpositiveinfocautionflag
DatePollster · trust signalsn · popBinkleyLead
Sep 25Stratus Intellegence411 · LV4

Endorsements · Republican primary · 2 total

Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yet
2
Ryan Binkley · 2
RRyan Binkley2 endorsers
Most notable · Jake Ellzey · TX-06 (2021–present)
Celebrity1
Elected officials1
Federal 1State 0Local 0

Money in this primary

FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing 2026-03-14
Ryan BinkleyH6TX32159 ↗
Raised
$3.22M
Cash on hand
$152K
No industry data.
Jace YarbroughH6TX32225 ↗
No FEC committee filing yet.
No industry data.
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 1deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested1 platformupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2026-03-14
Endorsements5 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks