Republican primary · May 5, 2026
Ohio house Republican primary
Derek Merrin won the Republican primary on May 5, 2026, advancing to the general election on November 3, 2026.
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 10d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
VerifiedShowing the Republican primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.
Primary result · Republican primary
Official outcome · May 5, 2026 · forecast shown for reference1Derek MerrinDerek Scott Merrin is an American politician who previously served as the state representative for the 42nd District of the Ohio House of Re…
2Josh Williams
3Madison Sheahan
4Alea Nadeem
Polling average
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.
All polls · 1 results
strongpositiveinfocautionflag
| Date | Pollster · trust signals | n · pop | Merrin | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15 | J.L. Partners | 600 · LV | 33 | — |
Endorsements · Republican primary · 1 total
Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yetDerek Merrin · 1
RDerek Merrin1 endorser
Most notable · Donald Trump · president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)
Elected officials1
Federal 1State 0Local 0
Elected officials · 1
- Donald Trump · president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)
Money in this primary
FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing 2026-05-04In the news
12 shown · last 30d · Google NewsNews volume · 30d
12 articles · building history
News volume · last 30d
Articles12
Trendbuilding history
Article counts indexed by Google News; the sparkline traces weekly volume across the window.
Net favorability
+0.33
Coverage lean (D−R) · shift −0.17 wk
Net favorability
Score+0.33
Week-over-weekshift −0.17 wk
Tone of coverage, D minus R, scored from −1 (all R-favorable) to +1 (all D-favorable). 0 is balanced.
Coverage tilt
D 42%
Neutral 50%
R 8%
50% of outlets rated · by editorial lean
Coverage tilt · by outlet lean
D-leaning outlets42%
Neutral50%
R-leaning outlets8%
50% of outlets classified by editorial lean
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Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 1deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested2 platformsupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2026-05-04
Endorsements16 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage12 / 30dGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks