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Races · house · 2026 · Kentucky · general · Republican primary
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PhasesShowing the Republican primary. Other views:general election·Democratic primary
Republican primary · May 19, 2026

Kentucky house Republican primary

Ralph Alvarado won the Republican primary on May 19, 2026, advancing to the general election on November 3, 2026.

Primary passed· 3 polls
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 4d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands
Verified

Showing the Republican primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.

Primary result · Republican primary

Official outcome · May 19, 2026 · forecast shown for reference
1Ralph AlvaradoRalph A. Alvarado is an American physician and politician who most recently served as the 15th Commissioner of the Tennessee Department of H…32.6%✓ Won
2Ryan Dotson12.4%
3Greg Plucinski5.5%
4Adam Perez Arquette3.2%
5Steve Shannon2.0%

Polling average

3436384042ALVARADO 37.5APR '26APR '26APR '26
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.

All polls · 3 results

strongpositiveinfocautionflag
DatePollster · trust signalsn · popAlvaradoLead
May 61892 Polling400 · LV38
Apr 71892 Polling · unknown32
Feb 111892 Polling · unknown21

Endorsements · Republican primary · 8 total

Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yet
8
Ralph Alvarado · 8
RRalph Alvarado8 endorsers
Most notable · Donald Trump · president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)
Elected officials7
Federal 6State 0Local 0
Organizations1

Money in this primary

FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing 2026-05-18
Ralph AlvaradoH6KY06192 ↗
Raised
$1.18M
Cash on hand
$455K
Cumulative receipts · 4 filings
No industry data.

In the news

31 shown · last 30d · Google News
News volume · 30d
31 articles · building history
Net favorability
+0.23
Coverage lean (D−R) · shift +0.05 wk
Coverage tilt
D 23%
Neutral 77%
23% of outlets rated · by editorial lean
T
thenerdstash.com · 2d ago
'Pass the SAVE Act or Get Replaced': Kentucky Rep. James Comer's Voter ID Push Sparks Calls to Replace Senate Republicans
Neutral
N
nytimes.com · 2d ago
Kentucky Sixth Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
D-favorable
T
thedailybeast.com · 2d ago
MAGA Stooge James Comer Blasts Weak Republicans Over Donald Trump Issue
D-favorable
N
nytimes.com · 6d ago
Kentucky Fourth Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
D-favorable
P
primetimer.com · 6d ago
Mitch McConnell's history of health issues explored as EMS dispatch audio suggests Kentucky senator was found unconscious at his house
Neutral
C
cartercountytimes.com · 7d ago
Judicial watchdog is wary of Beshear’s involvement in Kentucky Court of Appeals election
Neutral
I
ibtimes.co.uk · 7d ago
Thomas Massie Resolution: House Votes To Expose Lawmakers In Sexual Misconduct Settlements
Neutral
S
snapnetwork.org · 7d ago
Thomas Massie resolution: House votes to expose lawmakers in sexual misconduct settlements
Neutral
W
wdrb.com · 8d ago
Kentucky Rep. Morgan McGarvey criticizes Supreme Court ruling upholding transgender sports bans
Neutral
A
aol.com · 8d ago
Kentucky primary election 2026 live results
Neutral
Page 1 of 4
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 3deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested1 platformupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2026-05-18
Endorsements23 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage31 / 30dGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks