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Races · house · 2026 · California · general · Democratic primary
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PhasesShowing the Democratic primary. Other views:general election
Democratic primary · June 2, 2026

California house Democratic primary

Field of 2 Democratic candidates competing for the party's nomination. Winner advances to the general election on November 3, 2026.

Primary passed· 0 polls
Jasmeet Bains 53% to win the Democratic nominationupdated 11h ago · primary-struct-v1
Jasmeet Bains · 53%Randy Villegas · 47%
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 13d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands
Verified

Showing the Democratic primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.

How confident are we?0 = certain · 100 = max uncertain
Combined
82
High uncertainty
Main driver: wide vote-share CI (19.4pp).
Forecast CI width65
19.4pp 80% interval
Polling sparsity100
0 polls in 60d · target ≥ 8

Forecast · Democratic primary

primary-struct-v1 · medium confidence · 2 polls + fundamentals
1Jasmeet BainsJasmeet Kaur Bains is an American physician and politician serving as a member of the California State Assembly for the 35th district since …27.6% 18–3753% win
2Randy VillegasThe 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in California will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the 52 U.S. representativ…27.0% 17–3747% win

Polling average

16182022242628VILLEGAS 24.4BAINS 20.4MAY '26MAY '26MAY '26
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.

All polls · 0 results

Democratic primary polls

No polls have been published for this primary yet. When pollsters start covering the race, individual polls will be listed here with sample size, lean, and trust signals.

Endorsements · Democratic primary · 89 total

Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yet
50
39
Randy Villegas · 50Jasmeet Bains · 39
DRandy Villegas50 endorsers
Most notable · David Hogg · former vice chair of the Democratic National Committee (2025)
Organizations24
Elected officials23
Federal 22State 0Local 0
Celebrity1
Newspapers1
Other1
DJasmeet Bains39 endorsers
Most notable · Robert Rivas · speaker of the California State Assembly (2023–present) from the AD-29 (2018–present)
Organizations20
Elected officials17
Federal 14State 3Local 0
Newspapers1
Other1

Money in this primary

FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing 2026-06-16
Jasmeet BainsH6CA22208 ↗
Raised
$1.30M
Cash on hand
$360K
No industry data.
Randy VillegasH6CA22190 ↗
Raised
$1.75M
Cash on hand
$337K
No industry data.
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested2 platformsupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2026-06-16
Endorsements95 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks