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Photo of Jasmeet BainsD
Public domain
DemocratRunning for CA-22 U.S. House · 2026

Jasmeet Bains

Jasmeet Kaur Bains is an American physician and politician serving as a member of the California State Assembly for the 35th district since 2022. Bains is the first South Asian American woman and Sikh American elected to the body. She is considered to be one of the most moderate Democrats in the Assembly. She ran for a seat in the United States House of Representatives in 2026, placing third in the nonpartisan primary behind progressive Democrat Randy Villegas and incumbent Republican representative David Valadao.
Born 1985 · Delano, California , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04

Jasmeet Kaur Bains, a physician and California State Assembly member representing the 35th district since 2022, ran for CA-22's U.S. House seat in 2026. The first South Asian American woman and Sikh American elected to the state Assembly, Bains raised about $1.3 million but placed third in the nonpartisan primary, finishing behind progressive Democrat Randy Villegas and incumbent Republican David Valadao.

20.4%
Polling average
our aggregate
78%
Win probability
market-implied
$1.3M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mix

Who Bains's money comes from.

C
42/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — small-dollar reliance is the weak spot.
3 watch items · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance22
11% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence48
13% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding65
35% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure31
$2.9M in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2022Member of the California State Assembly
since 2022
Public favorability
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-date

Who funds the campaign.

$1.3M
Raised
$943k
Spent
$360k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
11% small (<$200)76% large indiv.13% PAC
65% in-state · 35% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race

The contest Bains is running in.

CA · HOUSE · 2026safe r
Bains (D) vs David Valadao (R)
20.4%−24.1 Valadao44.6%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →

Live contract prices tied to Bains and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.

Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: CALIFORNIA STATE ASSEMBLY · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Photo of Jasmeet BainsD
Democrat · CA-22 U.S. House

Jasmeet Bains

Jasmeet Kaur Bains is an American physician and politician serving as a member of the California State Assembly for the 35th district since 2022. Bains is the first South Asian American woman and Sikh American elected to the body. She is considered to be one of the most moderate Democrats in the Assembly. She ran for a seat in the United States House of Representatives in 2026, placing third in the nonpartisan primary behind progressive Democrat Randy Villegas and incumbent Republican representative David Valadao.

Where Bains standsRace →
Bains 20.4%David Valadao 44.6%
Market · wins
78¢
20.4%
Poll avg
78%
Win prob
$1.3M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04

Jasmeet Kaur Bains, a physician and California State Assembly member representing the 35th district since 2022, ran for CA-22's U.S. House seat in 2026. The first South Asian American woman and Sikh American elected to the state Assembly, Bains raised about $1.3 million but placed third in the nonpartisan primary, finishing behind progressive Democrat Randy Villegas and incumbent Republican David Valadao.

Governing & voting record
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2022Member of the California State Assembly
since 2022
Public favorability
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard

Who Bains's money comes from.

C
42/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — small-dollar reliance is the weak spot.
3 watch items · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance22
11% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence48
13% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding65
35% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure31
$2.9M in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$1.3M
Raised
$943k
Spent
$360k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
11% small (<$200)76% large indiv.13% PAC
65% in-state · 35% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
CA · HOUSE · 2026safe r
Bains (D) vs David Valadao (R)
20.4%−24.1 Valadao44.6%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: CALIFORNIA STATE ASSEMBLY · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)