Races · house · 2024 · PA
house · open seat

Matt Cartwright vs Rob Bresnahan

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Lean R — · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands
Verified

Lean R

lean-r

Money in this race

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-12-19
Total IE spending
$65.5M
For candidates
$7.0M
Against candidates
$58.5M
Latest filing: 12/19/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Rob Bresnahan Jr. (R)
$2.5M for · $26.4M against
Cash on hand
$53K
Total raised (cycle)
$4.5M
Total spent
$4.5M
Debts
$1.4M
Source: FEC
Rob Bresnahan (R)
$2.5M for · $26.4M against
Matt Cartwright (D)
$2.1M for · $5.6M against
Cash on hand
$89K
Total raised (cycle)
$8.7M
Total spent
$8.6M
Debts
$243K
Source: FEC

Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).

last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
  • 5/6/2026 Lean R via pvi