Public domain
RepublicanRunning for PA-8 U.S. House · 2026
Rob Bresnahan
Robert Paul Bresnahan Jr. is an American politician and businessman serving as the United States representative for Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district since 2025. He is a member of the Republican Party.
Born 1990 · Kingston, Pennsylvania , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-06
Rob Bresnahan, a Republican U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district since 2025, is seeking reelection. In current polling, he trails Democratic opponent Paige Cognetti by roughly 2 points, with Bresnahan at about 45% and Cognetti at about 47%. Polymarket's data suggests approximately a 40% win probability for Bresnahan. He has raised about $5 million for his campaign.
45%
Polling average
our aggregate
41%
Win probability
market-implied
$4.5M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Bresnahan's money comes from.
C
42/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance36
18% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
42% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding31
69% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Bresnahan did in office.
MeasureYearAction
Protect Seniors and Veterans from Health Care Fraud Act of 2026
Referred to the Committee on Veterans' Affairs, and in addition to the Committees on Ways and Means, and Energy and Commerce, for a period to be subse
2026
Sponsored
Local Control Protection Act
Referred to the Committee on Ways and Means, and in addition to the Committee on the Judiciary, for a period to be subsequently determined by the Spea
2026
Sponsored
Designating May 2026 as "National Electrical Safety Month" in the United States and supporting the goals and i
Referred to the House Committee on Energy and Commerce.
2026
Sponsored
CFTC Office of the Chief Economist Act of 2026
Referred to the Subcommittee on Commodity Markets, Digital Assets, and Rural Development.
2026
Sponsored
Local Farmers Feeding our Communities Act
Referred to the Subcommittee on Nutrition and Foreign Agriculture.
2025
Sponsored
National Flood Insurance Program Affordability Act
Referred to the House Committee on Financial Services.
2025
Sponsored
Water Infrastructure Modernization Act of 2025
Referred to the Subcommittee on Water Resources and Environment.
2025
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Bresnahan votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Bresnahan
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
63
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 587 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
94%voted with Republicans · 6% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2025United States representative
since 2025
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$4.5M
Raised
$2.3M
Spent
$2.3M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
18% small (<$200)40% large indiv.42% PAC
31% in-state · 69% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-29 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Bresnahan is running in.
PA · HOUSE · 2026tilt d
Bresnahan (R) vs Paige Cognetti (D)
45%−1.6 Cognetti46.6%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Bresnahan and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: HOUSE CREATIVE SERVICES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
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Pennsylvania Eighth Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
Republican · PA-8 U.S. House
Rob Bresnahan
Robert Paul Bresnahan Jr. is an American politician and businessman serving as the United States representative for Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district since 2025. He is a member of the Republican Party.
Where Bresnahan standsRace →
Bresnahan 45%Paige Cognetti 46.6%
Market · wins
41¢
45%
Poll avg
41%
Win prob
$4.5M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-06Rob Bresnahan, a Republican U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district since 2025, is seeking reelection. In current polling, he trails Democratic opponent Paige Cognetti by roughly 2 points, with Bresnahan at about 45% and Cognetti at about 47%. Polymarket's data suggests approximately a 40% win probability for Bresnahan. He has raised about $5 million for his campaign.
Governing & voting record
Protect Seniors and Veterans from Health Care Fraud Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Local Control Protection Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Designating May 2026 as "National Electrical Safety Month" in the United States and supporting the goals and i
2026 · SPONSORED
CFTC Office of the Chief Economist Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Local Farmers Feeding our Communities Act
2025 · SPONSORED
National Flood Insurance Program Affordability Act
2025 · SPONSORED
Water Infrastructure Modernization Act of 2025
2025 · SPONSORED
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2025United States representative
since 2025
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Bresnahan's money comes from.
C
42/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance36
18% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
42% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding31
69% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Bresnahan votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Bresnahan
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
63
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 587 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
94%voted with Republicans · 6% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$4.5M
Raised
$2.3M
Spent
$2.3M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
18% small (<$200)40% large indiv.42% PAC
31% in-state · 69% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-29 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Related prediction markets
All markets →Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: HOUSE CREATIVE SERVICES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)