Races · house · 2024 · NY
house · open seat
Sarah Klee Hood vs Brandon Williams
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Lean D
lean-d
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-11-20Total IE spending
$27.5M
For candidates
$5.0M
Against candidates
$22.6M
Latest filing: 11/20/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Brandon Williams (R)
$570K for ·
$17.3M against
Cash on hand
$6K
Total raised (cycle)
$4.2M
Total spent
$4.2M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $11.1M against HMP Super PAC
- $2.6M against DCCC Party
- $1.6M against NRDC ACTION VOTES Super PAC
- $1.0M against EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY VICTORY FUND (EVERYTOWN VICTORY FUND) Super PAC
- $800K against AFSCME WORKING FAMILIES FUND PAC
John Mannion (D)
$4.3M for ·
$5.2M against
Cash on hand
$128K
Total raised (cycle)
$4.2M
Total spent
$4.0M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $4.1M against NRCC Party
- $2.4M for BATTLEGROUND NEW YORK Super PAC
- $1.2M for LCV VICTORY FUND Super PAC
- $988K against CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $599K for NY COMMON GROUND Super PAC
Sarah Klee Hood (D)
$110K for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$1K
Total raised (cycle)
$1.5M
Total spent
$1.5M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $110K for PRO-CHOICE MAJORITY 2024 Super PAC
- $78 for FOOD AND WATER ACTION PAC Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Lean D via pvi