Races · house · 2024 · NM
house · open seat
Gabe Vasquez vs Yvette Herell
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Tossup
tossup
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-11-27Total IE spending
$25.6M
For candidates
$3.2M
Against candidates
$22.4M
Latest filing: 11/27/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Yvette Herrell (R)
$2.3M for ·
$18.1M against
Cash on hand
$20K
Total raised (cycle)
$4.5M
Total spent
$4.6M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $16.7M against HMP Super PAC
- $1.5M for AMERICA PAC Super PAC
- $1.0M against CHC BOLD PAC PAC
- $617K for AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION Super PAC
- $352K against NEW DEMOCRAT MAJORITY Super PAC
Gabe Vasquez (D)
$888K for ·
$4.3M against
Cash on hand
$39K
Total raised (cycle)
$7.0M
Total spent
$7.0M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $2.9M against CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $1.1M against NRCC Party
- $463K for BLUE CD2 NEW MEXICO USA Super PAC
- $248K against AMERICA PAC Super PAC
- $163K for WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Tossup via pvi