Races · house · 2024 · CA
house · open seat
Joe Kerr vs Young Kim
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Tossup
tossup
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-11-04Total IE spending
$5.0M
For candidates
$5.0M
Against candidates
$38K
Latest filing: 11/4/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Young Kim (R)
$4.7M for ·
$3K against
Cash on hand
$1.7M
Total raised (cycle)
$9.2M
Total spent
$7.9M
Debts
$84K
Source: FEC
- $3.8M for FAIRSHAKE Super PAC
- $610K for AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION Super PAC
- $196K for NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE PAC
- $35K for CARE ACTION PAC
- $6K for NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND PAC
Joe Kerr (D)
$265K for ·
$35K against
Cash on hand
$0
Total raised (cycle)
$2.1M
Total spent
$2.1M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $232K for FLIP THE 40TH Super PAC
- $35K against AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION Super PAC
- $32K for WORKING AMERICA PAC
- $918 for PLANNED PARENTHOOD AFFILIATES OF CALIFORNIA VOTES PAC Super PAC
- $119 for COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Tossup via pvi