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Races · house · 2024 · California
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house · open seat

Mark Takano vs David Serpa

Lean D polls· 0 polls · 0 markets
Where this race stands
Verified

Lean D

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+7) suggests Lean D.

CITATIONS · lean-d

Endorsements · 0 total

Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yet
DMark Takano0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
RDavid Serpa0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-10-28
Mark TakanoH2CA43245 ↗
Receipts
$1.3M
Disburse
$1.5M
Cash on hand
$269.2K
Debts
$0
Real estate$6.6K
Health professionals$6.6K
PAFCO$13.2K
VETERANS UNITED HOME LOANS$11.6K
ESRI$7.9K
THOMAS SAFRAN & ASSOCIATES$7.6K
HOSATO ENTERPRISES, INC.$6.6K
David SerpaH4CA39066 ↗
Receipts
$56.4K
Disburse
$56.1K
Cash on hand
$300
Debts
$0
Lawyers / law firms$1.0K
GLOBAL PROCESSING SYSTEMS$5.0K
REINA HOLDING COMPANY LLC$1.0K
PEN CONSULTING, LLC$1.0K
MED LEGAL MANAGEMENT$1.0K
SELF EMPLOYED-KRISTINA ZARAGOZA$747.59

Outside spending · independent expenditures

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports
IE total
$282.8K
D side
$282.6K · 100%
R side
$157.29 · 0%
Top spender
EQUALITY PROJECT PAC
For / against split
For Takano $282.6K
For Serpa $157.29
SpenderSideAmountShareTarget
EQUALITY PROJECT PACD$282.2K100%for Mark Takano
COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACD$274.70%for Mark Takano
REFORM LEADERS PACR$157.290%for David Serpa
PLANNED PARENTHOOD ACTION FUND OF THE PACIFIC SOUTHWEST PACD$55.870%for Mark Takano
GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTIOND$55.010%for Mark Takano
SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTIOND$100%for Mark Takano

Editorial ratings · 3 raters

Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.
Safe D3
CNalysis
Safe D
Nov 15
The Cook Political Report
Safe D
Feb 1
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe D
Feb 22

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 5, 2026lean-dpvi
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2024-10-28
Endorsementsnothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks