Races · house · 2022 · OK
house · open seat
Adam Martin vs Kevin Hern
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Likely R
likely-r
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-10-05Total IE spending
$218K
For candidates
$201K
Against candidates
$17K
Latest filing: 10/5/2022
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Stephanie Bice (R)
$201K for ·
$17K against
Cash on hand
$622K
Total raised (cycle)
$2.5M
Total spent
$2.1M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $200K for NATIONAL VICTORY ACTION FUND Super PAC
- $17K against DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC Super PAC
- $902 for THE GUARDIAN FUND PAC
- $302 for WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC Super PAC
- $9 against PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES Super PAC
$86 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$13K
Total raised (cycle)
$73K
Total spent
$60K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $86 for EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY VICTORY FUND (EVERYTOWN VICTORY FUND) Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Likely R via pvi