NonpartisanIndependent, data-first coverage of US elections — polls, forecasts, and prediction markets, refreshed daily.Updated daily.What's new ↗·Methodology·Send feedback
KHR
RepublicanRunning for OK U.S. Senate · 2026
Kevin Hern
Kevin Hern ( Republican Party ) is a member of the U.S. House , representing Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District . He assumed office on November 13, 2018. His current term ends on January 3, 2027.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
Kevin Hern, a U.S. House member representing Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District since November 2018, is running for U.S. Senate. He won the Republican primary for the seat. Kalshi markets assign roughly 100% win probability in this safe Republican race in the November 2026 general election.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
—
No campaign finance on file
FEC filings appear here once the candidate's committee reports. Early-cycle and self-funding candidates often have nothing on record yet.
Kevin Hern ( Republican Party ) is a member of the U.S. House , representing Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District . He assumed office on November 13, 2018. His current term ends on January 3, 2027.
95%
Win prob
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
Kevin Hern, a U.S. House member representing Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District since November 2018, is running for U.S. Senate. He won the Republican primary for the seat. Kalshi markets assign roughly 100% win probability in this safe Republican race in the November 2026 general election.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
—
No campaign finance on file
FEC filings appear here once the candidate's committee reports. Early-cycle and self-funding candidates often have nothing on record yet.