Republican primary · June 2, 2026
South Dakota Governor Republican primary
Larry Rhoden and Toby Doeden advanced to a runoff for the Republican nomination after the June 2, 2026 primary.
Where this race stands
VerifiedShowing the Republican primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.
Primary result · Republican primary
Official outcome · June 2, 2026 · forecast shown for reference1Larry RhodenLarry Robert Rhoden is an American politician and businessman serving since 2025 as the 34th governor of South Dakota.
2Toby DoedenThe 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of South Dakota. The prim…
3Dusty Johnson
4Jon Hansen
All polls · 15 results
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| Date | Pollster · trust signals | n · pop | Rhoden | Doeden | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 26 | Public Sentiment Inst. | 400 · LV | 32 | 24 | +8 |
| May 21, 26 | Meeting Street Insights | 450 · LV | 23 | 22 | +1 |
| May 20, 26 | Emerson College | 452 · LV | 19 | 26 | +7 |
| May 19, 26 | Meeting Street Insights | 450 · LV | 23 | 22 | +1 |
| May 18, 26 | Emerson College | 432 · LV | 19 | 26 | +7 |
| Apr 19, 26 | Mason-Dixon | 500 · RV | 17 | 17 | +0 |
| Apr 10, 26 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 500 · RV | 17 | 17 | +0 |
| Mar 10, 26 | Emerson College | 413 · LV | 17 | 18 | +1 |
| Mar 8, 26 | Emerson College | 413 · LV | 17 | 18 | +1 |
| Mar 4, 26 | Public Opinion Strategies | 400 · LV | 28 | 16 | +12 |
Endorsements · Republican primary · 17 total
Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yetLarry Rhoden · 9Toby Doeden · 8
RLarry Rhoden9 endorsers
Most notable · Scott Odenbach · Majority Leader of the South Dakota House of Representatives (2025-present) from the 31st district (2021–present)
Elected officials6
Federal 0State 3Local 1
Elected officials · 6
- Scott Odenbach · Majority Leader of the South Dakota House of Representatives (2025-present) from the 31st district (2021–present)
- Taylor Rehfeldt · former Assistant Majority Leader of the South Dakota House of Representatives (2023-2025) from the 14th district (2021–present)
- Amber Hulse · state senator from the 30th district (2025–present)
- Arch Beal · state senator from the 12th district (2023–present) and former state representative from the 12th district (2015–2023)
- Mike Derby · state representative from the 34th district (2021–present)
- Paul TenHaken · mayor of Sioux Falls (2018-present)
Organizations3
Organizations · 3
- NRA Political Victory Fund
- National Rifle Association
- Veterans for America First
RToby Doeden8 endorsers
Most notable · Steve Haugaard · former speaker of the House (2019–2021) from the 10th district (2015–2023) and candidate for this seat in 2022
Elected officials7
Federal 1State 6Local 0
Elected officials · 7
- Steve Haugaard · former speaker of the House (2019–2021) from the 10th district (2015–2023) and candidate for this seat in 2022
- John Carley · state senator from the 29th district (2025–present)
- Phil Jensen · state representative from the 33rd district (2009–2013, 2021–present) and former state senator from the 33rd district (2013–2021)
- Taffy Howard · state senator from the 34th district (2025–present) and former state representative from the 33rd district (2017–2023)
- Bobbi Andera · state representative from the 10th district (2025–present)
- Brandei Schaefbauer · state representative from the 3rd district (2023–present)
- Logan Manhart · state representative from the 1st district (2025–present)
Organizations1
Organizations · 1
- Turning Point Action
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 15deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested2 platformsupdated 11h ago
FEC filings—no filings yet
Endorsements21 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks