Races · Governor · 2026 · Michigan · general · Democratic primary

Democratic primary · August 4, 2026

Michigan Governor Democratic primary

Field of 1 Democratic candidates competing for the party's nomination. Winner advances to the general election on November 3, 2026.

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27 days to primary· 16 pollsLast poll 20d ago

Jocelyn Benson 99% to win the Democratic nominationupdated 11d ago · primary-struct-v1

Jocelyn Benson · 100%Chris Swanson · 0%

Caution · early warning

Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 6d ago, but only 1 poll has landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands

Verified

Showing the Democratic primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.

How confident are we?0 = certain · 100 = max uncertain

Combined

High uncertainty

Main driver: wide vote-share CI (19.3pp).

Forecast CI width64

19.3pp 80% interval

Polling sparsity88

1 polls in 60d · target ≥ 8

Forecast · Democratic primary

primary-struct-v1 · medium confidence · 2 polls + fundamentals

1Jocelyn BensonJocelyn Benson ( Democratic Party ) is the Michigan Secretary of State . She assumed office on January 1, 2019. Her current term ends on Jan…59.8% 50–70100% win

2Chris Swanson10.2% 1–20<1% win

Polling average

POLL DOTSCI BAND
25303540455055606570BENSON 47.2FEB '25OCT '25JUN '26
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.

All polls · 16 results

strongpositiveinfocautionflag

Date	Pollster · trust signals	n · pop	Benson	Lead
May 11, 26	Mitchell Research	405 · LV	62	—
May 6, 26	Mitchell Research	405 · LV	62	—
Apr 20, 26	Glengariff Group	500 · LV	66	—
Apr 18, 26	Glengariff Group	500 · LV	66	—
Apr 15, 26	Emerson College	519 · LV	52	—
Apr 15, 26	Emerson College	519 · LV	52	—
Apr 12, 26	Emerson College	519 · LV	52	—
Dec 1, 25	Mitchell Research	261 · LV	48	—
Nov 20, 25	Mitchell Research	261 · LV	48	—
Nov 5, 25	Rosetta Stone	287 · LV	58	—
Oct 24, 25	Rosetta Stone Communications	287 · LV	58	—
Oct 5, 25	Impact Research	453 · LV	56	—
Mar 17, 25	Mitchell Research	303 · LV	46	—
Mar 12, 25	Mitchell Research	303 · LV	46	—
Mar 7, 25	Target Insyght	344 · RV	55	—
Mar 5, 25	Target Insyght	344 · unknown	55	—

· 16 polls · 10 per page

Endorsements · Democratic primary · 89 total

Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yet

Jocelyn Benson · 89

DJocelyn Benson89 endorsers

Most notable · Ranjeev Puri · minority leader of the Michigan House of Representatives (2025–present) from HD-24 (2021–present)

Other37

Elected officials25

Federal 5State 15Local 4

Organizations22

Celebrity4

Newspapers1

Money in this primary

FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing —

No FEC committee filings yet for the Democratic primary candidates. Most primary candidates file quarterly; if the primary is recent the data may take a few weeks to appear.